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Peter Zeihan - War in Asia and American hegemony
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Post: #26
RE: Peter Zeihan - War in Asia and American hegemony
(01-30-2019 11:05 PM)Kid Twist Wrote:  As I've criticized before involving most types like Peter (Stratfor former intel guys), who I always find interesting, is that they are remarkably void of anything of insight or interest involving cultural issues. He mentioned cultural dominance once in the hour here, but it was in a string of pro-American benefits or strengths, and it wasn't necessarily good; it just meant powerfully exported. Unless there is a turnaround truly in the cultural aspect of the newly aligned parties, a real rejection of the madness of the left and media, the future can't be that bright. This is why I also agree with Beast in the sense that a strongman dictator type is coming at the major shift in power/economics or market crash in the next 10 years. The government is outright lying to our faces, without shame, they keep running foolish marketing puppet types like Kamala Harris (as if we didn't notice she's a poor man's Obama part deux) and the gargantuan gov't entities are deeply entrenched and anti democratic or properly republic oriented and constituted, are totally dishonorable and politically motivated. There are traitors like John Brennan that I would hope get what they deserve but being honest about the world and what happens in it, it's equally likely they'll again get away scot-free because the system truly is sick.

Regarding the German cycle back to alternate (Neo Nazi? Come on Peter) how can you blame them? More failed leadership selling out a country, that should be the expectation of the age. Just like with Trump, the elites sold out their own citizens and then expect them to just take it on the chin while the historical identity, which has produced so much good for the history of the world is done away with? This lack of understanding of pushing people's back to the walls is why there are always cycles of wars and the globalist types, if not by war, always get rejected. It is in our DNA if we are a strong nation with a great foundation --- as long as the foundation hasn't been forgotten, another one of their tricks to indoctrinate the youth (out of).

On the cultural issue for the USA, he actually does discuss that in one of his 2 books. Of course, he uses America's geography to explain it, but he also does the same for other countries, such as Germany.

His has 2 lenses that he uses exclusively: geography and demographics. While even I would say that there is more to explain culture than just geography, it is a very different and insightful way of approaching it that reveals quite a bit.
02-01-2019 08:11 AM
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911 Offline
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Post: #27
RE: Peter Zeihan - War in Asia and American hegemony
(02-01-2019 12:42 AM)The Beast1 Wrote:  Hey KT, i meant immediate (2-5) year span for ww3. As in an Asian theater world war with the actors being China and the US allies. Not speaking about collapse which I see as not happening anytime soon.

Hope that clarifies it!

You really think we're going to have a hot war with China within 5 years?

“Nothing is more useful than to look upon the world as it really is.”
(This post was last modified: 02-01-2019 10:47 AM by 911.)
02-01-2019 10:46 AM
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Aquarius Offline
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Post: #28
RE: Peter Zeihan - War in Asia and American hegemony
(02-01-2019 12:42 AM)The Beast1 Wrote:  Hey KT, i meant immediate (2-5) year span for ww3. As in an Asian theater world war with the actors being China and the US allies. Not speaking about collapse which I see as not happening anytime soon.

Hope that clarifies it!

Yeah, no, hot war in China won't happen in 2-5 years. If your time frame is 2-5 years, then Russia seems more likely, which in turn is far less likely than Iran.

I'd count 2-5 years away from being at war with X country only after they get cut off from SWIFT or embargoed/blockaded by the US. Right now, only Iran and Venezuela fit this boat. Even Russia is still firmly attached to the global economy.

And the Sino-US relationship now, while worse than 5-10 years ago, is actually *infinitely* better than in the late 1990s. Back then, China was actually just 1 step from pressing buttons to lob missiles into Taiwan, got its embassy in Belgrade bombed by the USAF, and the collision over Hainan Island. It will probably take at least a decade for things to deteriorate to that level, but I'm definitely not ruling this scenario out. If this happens, then yes, the likelihood of WW3 will shoot up.

Your friend in Taiwan has nothing to be afraid of at least in the next 10 years. The DPP wants to instill fear in its people to keep getting votes, especially how they utterly failed to turn around the stagnating economy and hinged too much on neoliberalism. And China knows it still needs to conduct international trade for now, and internal stability is way more important than any type of nationalism. It'd only do something drastic geopolitically once internal stability starts falling apart.
(This post was last modified: 02-01-2019 01:34 PM by Aquarius.)
02-01-2019 01:34 PM
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