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Making Money Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread
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Denzel Offline
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Post: #76
RE: Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread
The highest probability case for SP500....We should touch the 2650-2685 region tomorrow or so. I plan to buy SPY calls (in installments) by watching for oversold conditions and positive divergence in this region. If this case is realized, then the bounce is expected to be strong.

If SP500 breaks 2650ish, the alternate is.... we will be going south but this has a lower probability right now. It is important to know the alternate as one can respond accordingly.

This post is written to discuss the technical analysis with the forum members.

(11-12-2018 12:51 AM)Denzel Wrote:  The highest probability count is that we are forming B of supercycle 4. Accordingly, I should buy SPY puts (with a stop loss around 2817).

With the usual disclaimer, this is not an investment advice. I just explain one of my possible investment strategies.
(This post was last modified: 11-14-2018 04:42 PM by Denzel.)
11-14-2018 04:22 PM
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Denzel Offline
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Post: #77
RE: Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread
THIS.

(11-11-2018 06:50 PM)Deepdiver Wrote:  Shorter Term ESZ Daily A-B-C against (Down) Trend...
From 0 Swing low at 2603 Wave A up to 2816, Wave B down to 2685 and Wave C back up to 2895 retest 2900.

Trade plan this week SPY When at 281.5 Buy SPY 260 or 250 puts sell to close at SPY 268.5 - Then Buying SPY 290 Calls sell to close at SPY 289/290.

I only add that we should see below 2685 -most likely- given the price action today, and an alternate count. The quoted post was written days ago. Congrats!
(This post was last modified: 11-14-2018 04:42 PM by Denzel.)
11-14-2018 04:36 PM
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Deepdiver Offline
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Post: #78
RE: Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread
WTF Why would BTC take a hit on the Roger Ver-Ego BCH Hard Fork... a BS Story in my nsho

Today is the midway point through November 2018 the time when hedge funds, mutual funds and family offices and private investors look to lock in tax losses for EOY Taxes or Capital Gains for EOY Funds performance.

One strategy is to sell the underlying now and buy options to buy or sell and then wait required IRS time period and exercise the options at a low strike price (buy now) after the January effect kicks in for a nice pop next year moving trading income and or cap gains also to next year.

I believe this is what we are seeing with GE and BTC and lesser extent with FXI and SPX.

GE TPOs from VPVR graph indicating where most of the "Herd Buy/Sell" order pairs are congregated - think of it as a form of cloud TA:
$30 Primary POC
$24 200 Week Moving Average
$20
$18
$14 Most Open Interest Call action at this level so I placed an Order for 50 Calls in for 2 Cents per call option...

GE shares a corner on the Turbines market with Siemens. GE is a major defense and federal prime contractor so I believe GE is Too Big to Fail especially with the Trump DoD rebuild.

Date Order # Type Order Summary Bid .02 Ask .03 Last
Price Status Related Links
Order
Type Quantity
(Exec / Entered) Symbol Price
Type Term Price
11/15/18 500 Option
Buy Open
50
GE Jan 18 '19 $14 Call
Limit GT 60 0.02 0.02
0.03
0.03

##############

BTC looks like A B C impulsing down from 5 Sept edge swing high ... BTC Wave C extension down to lower TPOs a possibility.

BTC VPVR TPO levels:
$11.7K Upper Value Range
$8.3K
$6.4K Current Primary POC above the current price of $5400 $5.4K so bears still in control.
$4.4K ($4.9K and $4.4K Strong 1Sept'17 Head and Shoulders previous support levels before ATH $20K Massive Parabolic Bull Run)
$0.96K

FXI and SPX/ESZ/SPY to follow on EOW Review. Also next week a compressed week with Thanksgiving.

NOTE: These discussions and any associated thread posts are not intended as investment advice in any way shape or form and is mentioned for informational purposes only now that we are entering a Major 40 Year S&P Supercycle Wave 3 to 4 Top Turning Reversal. Seek competent professional advice to determine your risk tolerance before trading Options or Futures contracts. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.
(This post was last modified: 11-15-2018 05:42 PM by Deepdiver.)
11-15-2018 05:26 PM
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Deepdiver Offline
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Post: #79
RE: Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread
Jeff Clarkes email update regarding BTC... Looks like the $20K - $40K - $60K - $100K and $1Million per BTC predictions by Jan 1, 2019 are now a long way off to say the least - at least John McAffee will not be eating his junk any time soon.

The Only Chance for a Bitcoin Rally...
Last week we asked, “Is Bitcoin Gearing Up for a Year-End Rally?”

We got our answer on Wednesday. The market said, “NO!”

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GnKUWlri/ ...This week's new swing low and 2018 low is 5188.

Bitcoin broke down from its consolidating triangle pattern. It dropped 15% in one day. And it’s now testing support near $5,250 per coin.

The BTC chart has suffered significant damage. Momentum indicators, like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) are more oversold now than they have been all year. This condition might help bitcoin bounce back a bit from here in the short term.

Let’s hope that happens. Because if the $5,250 level doesn’t hold, then the next support line is down around $4,300.

So… does this wipe out the chance of a year-end rally for the leader of the cryptocurrencies?

Yes, it probably does.

Unless bitcoin can recover immediately and get back above $6,000 – like today – then there’s not much hope for a year-end rally.

I have seen charts like this break down, flush out the last of the selling pressure, and then immediately reverse. So, let’s not rule out that possibility. But, if a reversal is going to happen then it needs to happen today. Bitcoin needs to rally back inside its triangle pattern – and maybe even press above the triangle in order to repair the damage to this chart.

That’s probably wishful thinking. Given the severity of Wednesday’s decline, it looks like the breakdown is for real.

Bitcoin now needs to hold onto support at $5,250 and spend some time chopping back and forth in order to build up energy for a new rally phase. (Note: BTC Wicked to a 2018 new swing low of 5188 so the 5250 Support level technically broken).

That’s probably going to take some time.
Best regards and good trading,

Jeff Clark
(This post was last modified: 11-16-2018 09:18 AM by Deepdiver.)
11-16-2018 09:17 AM
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Post: #80
RE: Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread
Order to Buy 50 GE Jan 18 '19 $14 Calls Executed @ $0.02 each.
11/16/2018, 9:39:12 AM

Total Trade with Fees about $130 bux.

GE Possibilities:

1. Retest the swing low of $5.73 per share of 02 March 2009. Calls above would be at $0.01 cent or less... At which time I will likely buy 100 More Calls for June timeframe next year to give new CEO Culp 3 full quarters to see results with his turnaround plan for GE and implementation of TPS systems.

2. GE Files bankruptcy to Reorganize [debts] and wipes out all common shareholders and shares and calls become worthless.

3. GE is bought by a Top 100 Federal Prime Contractor and absorbed - at a small premium over current share prices and Calls pop up a bit.

Obviously, 1 would be most profitable (5X to 10X+ by June 2019). Scenario 2 is a disaster - total wipeout so small positions only. And 3 could be a decent 2X to 5X pop depending upon premium paid.

As the Russians love to say "You must take risks if you want to Drink Champagne Dahlinks!"

NOTE: These discussions and any associated thread posts are not intended as investment advice in any way shape or form and is mentioned for informational purposes only now that we are entering a Major 40 Year S&P Supercycle Wave 3 to 4 Top Turning Reversal. Seek competent professional advice to determine your risk tolerance before trading Options or Futures contracts. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.
(This post was last modified: 11-16-2018 10:23 AM by Deepdiver.)
11-16-2018 10:19 AM
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RE: Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread
Four “Buy” Rated Cryptocurrencies; 5 Questions about Weiss Crypto Ratings
By Martin D. Weiss, PhD and Juan M. Villaverde (Premium Service)
(This post was updated 11/1/2018)

Weiss Ratings has the latest data on more than 3,000 cryptocurrencies and tokens.

Among them, we issue grades on 111 (plus many more on deck).

But only four currently merit a rating that’s equivalent to a “Buy” (“B-” or better).

We’ll name those four in just a moment. But first let us address some of the most frequently asked questions about our ratings:

Question #1
How do you rate cryptocurrencies?

We have developed four separate computer models, each designed with a unique purpose:

1. Our technology model focuses on the blockchain technology to evaluate its potential for performance: What kind of speeds could it run at? How would it scale? How advanced is its governance? How does it deal with energy consumption? Can smart contracts be used on the ledger? How flexibly can it be upgraded? What other unique features does it have?

Mobile phone technology provides a good metaphor — like comparing specs on speed (e.g., 4G vs. 5G), screen resolution, battery life, and so on.

2. Our adoption model measures performance in the real world. What are the actual transaction speeds and costs? How decentralized is the network? How big is the developer community? How popular is the project? Are people using it? And much more.

3. Our investment risk model evaluates volatility and downside price risk. Essentially, it seeks to answer the question: “How much money can I lose?” And …

4. Our investment reward model deals with the upside potential — “How much money can I make?”

Combining the results of all four models, we arrive at a final grade, from “A” to “E.”

Any grade of “B-” or better is the equivalent of a “Buy.”

“D+” or lower is “sell.”

And “C” implies no action — “hold” if you already own it; “avoid” if you don’t.

(For more about our cryptocurrency ratings, go here.)

Question #2
Why don’t you rate all cryptocurrencies?

The overwhelming majority of what many people call “cryptocurrencies” are really nothing of the kind. They’re strictly utility tokens, typically issued by a startup company or project for very limited purposes.

In some respects, utility tokens are similar to Chuck E. Cheese coins or American Airlines AAdvantage points. Beyond exchanging them for goods or services with the merchant who issued them, there’s not much more you can do with them.

And as investments, they suck! They give you no participation in the company’s success. They’re likely to go down in value as the company becomes more efficient, seeks to get its product out to a broader audience and cuts its prices. Worse, they offer none of the rights that you’d expect as a shareholder.

With the cards stacked so heavily against investors, we are not ready to rate them at this time. In most cases, even awarding them low grades might be too generous.

Meanwhile, among the hundreds of distributed ledger projects (true cryptocurrencies) that exist, many have not yet seen the light of day. They’re like wannabe moths and butterflies sitting in a cocoon. Virtually no one owns or uses them. And that means there’s very little adoption data for us to measure.

Result: We will look at them more closely in the future. But right now, we cover strictly DLT protocols that have a minimal level of adoption.

(Related post: “3 Reasons Most ICOs Have Bombed.”)

Question #3
Why is Bitcoin still just a “C+”?

Poor risk/reward metrics. Outdated technology, including slow transaction speeds, difficulty in scaling, weak governance, and more.

Much of this could improve as the Lightning Network rolls out, but that could take a lot more time.


(For the full story, see “Why Bitcoin Is Still a C+.”)

Question #4
Why don’t any cryptocurrencies get a Weiss Rating of ‘A’?

There are two reasons it’s difficult for cryptocurrencies to achieve an “A” in the current environment:

First because the entire asset class is still very risky for investors …

And second because it’s currently transitioning from legacy coins like Bitcoin to next-gen coins like EOS.

Here’s the dilemma …

• Yes, our model recognizes that Bitcoin has “excellent” adoption, but its technology is far behind coins like EOS.

• And yes, the model says EOS has “excellent” technology, but it needs more time to catch up with Bitcoin’s adoption.

In our ratings model, to get an “A,” coins like Bitcoins and EOS would need both excellent technology and excellent adoption. Right now, each has one factor licked, but not the other.

Question #5
What are the coins that currently get a ‘B-‘ or better (“Buy”)?

Answer: XRP, Stellar, EOS and Cardano.

These are among the few that are beginning to put it all together — the advanced tech and adoption in the real world. They’re not all the way there yet. But they’re making good progress.


XRP and Stellar are appealing to businesses and other organizations, mainly for speedy financial transfers. In contrast, EOS and Cardano are designed more as virtual communities, with each participant empowered to influence the future direction of the project, spanning a broad range of applications.

As we’ve explained from the outset, these four have technology that’s built for excellence and fully capable of achieving their specific goals. And, at the same time, they’re enjoying rapidly improving adoption metrics, especially during the past 10 months.

Think about that. They’ve made remarkable progress during a period of massive investor losses, broad reputational damage to the industry, and worse.

So imagine what their market performance could be like once the crypto markets firm up and investor interest returns in a big way!

Best,

Martin and Juan

(This post was updated 11/1/2018)
(This post was last modified: 11-16-2018 11:22 AM by Deepdiver.)
11-16-2018 11:20 AM
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Deepdiver Offline
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Post: #82
RE: Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread
Fri 16 November End Of Week (EOW) Review with the Mystical and Legendary Green Panda...

Publishing my Tradingview Charts so I can refer back to them.
https://www.tradingview.com/u/Deepdiver/

Links to latest SPX "Cash" SuperCycle & Major(Sub)Waves adjustments:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPX/5f...ves-3-4-5/

Links to ESZ2018 5 Minute Trading Trends Channel Chart used for intraday profits and determining highest probabilities on the longer Daily SPY/SPX/ESZ S&P Charts:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ESZ201...C-an-TPOs/
Correlating to and Confirming:
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/zl...egression/

4 Hour ESZ A-B-C MAs Chart with Swing ATH to Recent Swing Low Fibonacci Retracement overlayed on VPVR POC and TPOs:
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ESZ201...TH-to-Low/
Larger View:
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ESZ201...-and-VPVR/
11-17-2018 02:52 PM
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Denzel
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Post: #83
RE: Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread
Long Term BTC Chart includes Fibonacci Extension and Retracement with Moving Averages, Wave and Trend Analysis & LOWER Support Levels including VPVR (Volume Profile Visible Range) with POC (Point of Control) and TPOs (Time Price Opportunities).

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD...-Supports/
11-17-2018 03:05 PM
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RE: Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread
So positive news in the midst of Crypto and Market corrections/dips.

19 Nov 2018:

The Two Big Winners Of Earnings Season That No One's Talking About

Just as quickly as earnings season came, it's now over.

Walmart Inc.'s (WMT) earnings report last Thursday officially ended the season.

And as I noted on Friday, Walmart crushed analyst expectations on soaring e-commerce sales — and a sizable uptick in foot traffic.

As a bellwether of the American economy, the retailer's big Street beat should make this point clearer than ever…

There is NO recession looming on the horizon here. And there's still plenty of upside left in stocks -- that can easily drive higher well into 2019.

Allow me to explain.

Big Beats Over the Street… No Small Feat

In case you missed it, 92% of S&P 500 companies have reported third-quarter earnings. And according to FactSet, nearly 80% of these names have exceeded earnings per share estimates.

The research firm also notes that the Q3 earnings growth rate is currently 25.7%. If it holds, it'll be the strongest quarter of profit growth since 2010.

Better still, more than 60% of companies have beaten sales estimates, too. So the stunning business growth we've seen isn't just the product of "financial engineering."

Yes, investors continue to take profits off the table as we approach the end of the year.

But the recent selloff has made stocks incredibly cheap.

The forward price to earnings ratio on the S&P 500 has dropped to 15.6 from more than 18 earlier this year. That's well below the S&P's five-year average of 17.

And analysts expect another double-digit quarter of EPS growth when Q4 numbers drop in January.

Best of all, the recent slip in stocks presents you with a huge buying opportunity.

Following the strong earnings season, here are the two unloved sectors that offer you the biggest bang for your buck right now…

The Hidden Diamonds in the Rough

Crude oil prices are down, but the energy sector is far from out…

Boasting a 125% boost, the energy sector saw the largest increase in earnings this season. And despite the big bounce in bottom line growth, large cap oil stocks (measured by the ETF XLE) trade at just 16 times forward earnings right now.

If you're looking to get into a few cheap names, consider Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR) and Vale SA (VALE).

These two existing Dollar Trade Club recommendations sport bargain-bin valuations. And they're poised to pop on a rebound in oil prices.

And while tech stocks are getting wrecked, 91% of S&P 500 tech companies reported better-than-expected earnings.

One unloved tech name that has my eye is Cypress Semiconductors Corp. (CY). They're a mid cap chip-maker that's on deck for huge growth in 2019.

The stock got hammered in the October selloff, but it reported a 48% increase in third-quarter earnings — and an 11% boost in Q3 sales.

And since reporting earnings on October 25, the stock is up 10%. That's nearly twice the rise of semi stocks, ten times the rise of the Nasdaq over the same period.

Even better… the stock is making higher lows. And on Friday… the stock broke through key resistance around $13.85 on above-average volume.

CY is a semi stock surging with momentum — and bucking the broader downturn in tech. As a trader, it's a name that demands your attention right now.

So…

As you gear up for the year-end push, look to add these discounted tech and energy names to your portfolio -- before they explode higher.

That said Peter Schiff convinced the Fed is raising rates and creating a recession - Maybe... or no raise in December and a possible March Cut in rates... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UcDewxvmiR4
11-20-2018 03:34 PM
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Post: #85
RE: Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread
Peter Schiff in his latest podcast Episode 416 was brutal in his review of the USD, Bitcoin -2.95 %, The US Markets and only positive on his long Gold 0.10% stocks investments and EuroPac Offshore Portfolios not exposed to USD risk. https://youtu.be/he1E_OhJGcw

Did a hard look at my long-term BTC -2.95% Charts and previous Technical Analysis and sad to say for BTC -2.95% Bulls and Hodlrs the only technical being consistently respected is the Major Wave 4 Swing High Trend line drawn across the subsequent lower swings high. I have extended this line down through all the previous strong support lines which essentially form lower and lower descending wedge patterns which the Hodlrs have been hoping for breakouts up to previous BTC -2.95% Highs only to be serially disappointed with new 2018 trading lows...

Previous BTC -2.95% Support Levels:
4400
3200
1900
960 (Current Long Time Frame VPVR POC )
570 (Current VPVR Low Longer Timeframe Value Range)

Currently 5 different distribution levels of VPVR TPOs down to the 570 Low.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD...king-Down/

Additional Newsletter insights to Globalists war on cash and cryptocurrencies and their Diabolical Plans to track all transactions with their own Central Satanic Bank Crypto/Blockchain technologies:

The bitcoin bears are out in full force…

As we told you yesterday, bitcoin just crashed to a 13-month low.

This follows a bout of heavy selling pressure that started last Wednesday and has wiped $33 billion off bitcoin’s market value.

This isn’t just a concern for bitcoin investors. (For more on what to do if you hold bitcoin, catch up here.)

It’s also causing thousands of bitcoin “miners” – the folks who use high-powered computers to verify the transactions on the network in exchange for newly minted bitcoin – to shut down their operations.

With prices crashing, it’s no longer profitable for many of these folks to expend so much costly computing power (which involves sky-high energy bills) to keep on mining.

And as you’ll learn today, something more sinister may be weighing on bitcoin than the explanations that have been offered up in the mainstream press.

Now, back to the possible catalysts for bitcoin’s plunge…

Most mainstream reporters don’t have the first clue about cryptocurrencies or how they work.

But something the press has picked up on is the “hard fork” in the fourth-largest crypto by market value, Bitcoin Cash.

As we told you last week right after the crypto tumble began, a hard fork is when the programmers can’t agree on which direction the project should go.

So it splits into two projects.

And in the case of Bitcoin Cash, Craig Wright – one of the biggest holders of the bitcoin – has been threatening to dump all his bitcoin to support the Bitcoin Cash hard fork.

Harsher regulations are also causing jitters…

In particular, increased scrutiny of crypto fund-raising projects – or initial coin offerings (ICOs) – by U.S. regulators.

So far, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has allowed ICOs to go ahead more or less unregulated, unless there’s been cause to believe some form of fraud was afoot.

That’s because it didn’t deem digital tokens to be “securities,” which have traditionally fallen into two categories – stocks and bonds.

But last week, the SEC said it had settled charges against two companies that issued digital tokens during an ICO because they didn’t first “register them pursuant to the federal securities law.”

And there are fears that this could be just the start of a wider clampdown by regulators.

Another possible cause of the crypto meltdown is far more disturbing…

It’s what Bill Bonner Letter coauthor Dan Denning calls the “assassination of bitcoin” by global financial elites.

Here’s Dan with more…

Cryptos have proven there is an appetite for a cashless digital payment system AND purely digital money. What central bankers and the world’s financial elite have figured out is that bitcoin stands in the way of this new world financial order.

It’s an order where centrally controlled digital money promises complete political power over the lives and choices of billions of people. They’re making their move to establish that order now.

Last week, there was a three-pronged assault on cryptos from financial elites…

The first attack came last Tuesday, in the form of a post on Bank of England’s blog.

John Lewis, a researcher at the central bank, claimed bitcoin was plagued by seven fatal flaws.

These include sluggish transaction times and a hoarding mentality among bitcoin holders that crimp its use as a payments option.

A day later, Christine Lagarde, the head of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), gave a speech in Singapore.

It was titled “Winds of Change: The Case for New Digital Currency.” And it was a bombshell…

Citing “new and evolving requirements for money,” Lagarde asked if central banks should “issue a new digital form of money.”

In other words, a fiat currency in crypto form.

This is already happening. More than one in three central banks around the world are already seriously considering issuing a crypto replacement for their fiat currencies – including the central banks of Canada, China, Sweden, and Uruguay.

These fiat-crypto hybrids won’t be decentralized like bitcoin. Central banks will still be able to issue new fiat cryptocurrencies at will. But they will do away with the need to issue physical banknotes.

As Lagarde told the audience in Singapore, she’s on board with this radical new idea…

I believe we should consider the possibility to issue digital currency. There may be a role for the state to supply money to the digital economy.

The sharpest attack came from the European Central Bank…

Speaking at a conference in Switzerland, Benoȋt Cœuré – a French economist who sits on the board of the European Central Bank – called bitcoin the “evil spawn” of the 2008 global financial crisis.

Cœuré delivered his broadside against bitcoin a day after Lagarde floated the idea of a state-run alternative to bitcoin in Singapore. And he didn’t mince his words…

[B]itcoin was an extremely clever idea. Sadly, not every clever idea is a good idea. The opportunities of the blockchain are many, but the problems of Bitcoin are also plentiful. I believe that Agustín Carstens summed its manifold problems up well when he said that Bitcoin is “a combination of a bubble, a Ponzi scheme, and an environmental disaster.”

He also echoed Lagarde’s call for a central bank-issued crypto-fiat hybrid.

It’s what he described in typical, central banker jargon as a “widely available, consumer-facing payment instrument targeted at retail transactions,” or “general purpose central bank digital currency.”

Why do financial elites want to take on bitcoin?

As Dan says, it’s part of a war that’s raging for control of digital money.

Cœuré is right: Bitcoin was a response to the 2008 meltdown.

It’s no coincidence that the bitcoin white paper was published in October 2008 – one month after the collapse Lehman Brothers nearly brought down the banking system.

As Cœuré pointed out, bitcoin’s pseudonymous creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, etched an important clue to cryptocurrency’s origins in the bitcoin code.

Embedded in the first group of transaction records on the bitcoin blockchain – the so-called “genesis block” – was a Times of London headline from January 2009 about Britain’s bailout of its banks.

It reads: “Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks” (a reference to the Chancellor of the Exchequer, Britain’s equivalent of the Secretary of the Treasury in the U.S.).

After all, why would anyone want to hold fiat money when the banks that facilitate its payments acted so recklessly… and when central bankers are systematically destroying its buying power by printing it at will?

Bitcoin solves the problem of having to rely on corrupt institutions… and Cœuré knows it.

That leaves one possibility…

Control.

Central bankers and their backers at the IMF want to keep control of the money system. And bitcoin and other private, decentralized currencies threaten to take that control away from them. Dan again…

Central banks aim to capitalize on the budding popularity of cryptos and then harness it for their own ends. Cryptos and bitcoin threaten that control. So they have to go.

Bitcoin gets knifed in the back by the SEC, central banks, and the IMF. And we get a digital money system where cash disappears… and the authorities have full transparency over our monetary affairs. Our worst nightmare, in other words.

Of course, just because central banks want to supplant cryptos with their own fiat-crypto hybrids… doesn’t mean that bitcoin and other private cryptos are going away.

As we’ll show you next week… the more control governments and their central banks try to seize over the financial system, the more popular private, decentralized cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin will become.

###

Therefore I ran a Fibonacci Retracement of the GLD ETF operated by said same SPY Folks - the GLD ETF notorious for holding physical gold only with no leverage via Gold Futures and other paper certificate Swiss and Singapore shenanigans.

Weekly chart Swing high of GLD ETF was $129.50 in Jan and Retest April 2018 then complete a failed wave 5 with impulsing wave 3 2018 low of 111 in Aug 2018 with a retest of the low in Sept - now seems to be mirroring Peter Schiffs warning alarms (This time) and running up a ABC wave against trend to a 50% Retracement at $120 and .618 retracement at $122.

Therefore as I see GLD ABC wave uptrend confirmed I added the following GLD Call Option to my Watchlist:

Symbol LastPrice$ Change$ Change% Qty  PriceWhenAdded DateAdded TotalGain$ TotalGain% Value$
GLD Jun 28 19 $120 Call 3.30 0.46 16.20% 1 2.84 11/20/2018 41.00 14.44% 330.00
GLD Feb 15 19 $120 Call 1.31 0.12 10.08% 1 1.19 11/20/2018 8.00 6.72% 131.00

Note longer term June GLD $120 Calls up 14.4% today and Feb 120 Calls only Up 6.7% - I suspect this is because traders listening to the Doom and Gloom warnings of Peter Schiff, Martin Armstrong, Jim Rickards, Doug Casey that Cryptos can be a store of Value as long as their prices are not collapsing yet the three Guarantors of Generational Wealth Preservation through both War and Peace has been productive land to grow food (Farms, Orchards, Vineyards etc., Estates), Old Masters Fine Art and Gold and Silver. As we are at a Top Turning Point of the 40 Year Markets SuperCycle looking at Major Wave impulsing down at a lot of traders not comfortable with shorting Options and Futures will rush to safety being Gold and Large Gold ETFs where they do not have to take physical delivery.

NOTE: These discussions and any associated thread posts are not intended as investment advice in any way shape or form and is mentioned for informational purposes only now that we are entering a Major 40 Year S&P Supercycle Wave 3 to 4 Top Turning Reversal. Seek competent professional advice to determine your risk tolerance before trading Options or Futures contracts. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.
(This post was last modified: 11-22-2018 03:13 PM by Deepdiver.)
11-22-2018 03:03 PM
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Post: #86
RE: Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread
SP500 broke 2650. B waves are notorious and my analysis show that this might go to 2450-2500 -especially if it breaks the recent lows soon) or 2800+. This might not seem like a useful information......unless one buys a straddle Smile

By the way, GE options can give incredible returns. I think there might be one more low for GE and this is the time to buy options. Of course, it might go further south but who cares when you accept how much to lose.....For the record, I hold call options that I bought for 4 cents but I paid $100 in totalSmile This is how much I am willing to lose. The potential is huge so I had to buy it given the risk-reward ratio.

Deepdiver, thanks for bringing GE to my attention.

(11-14-2018 04:22 PM)Denzel Wrote:  The highest probability case for SP500....We should touch the 2650-2685 region tomorrow or so. I plan to buy SPY calls (in installments) by watching for oversold conditions and positive divergence in this region. If this case is realized, then the bounce is expected to be strong.

If SP500 breaks 2650ish, the alternate is.... we will be going south but this has a lower probability right now. It is important to know the alternate as one can respond accordingly.
(This post was last modified: 11-22-2018 11:09 PM by Denzel.)
11-22-2018 10:58 PM
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RE: Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread
This was my latest S&P on the ESZ2018 Futures Chart of the A-B-C against the 40 Year SuperCycle up trend...

There are 3 mathematical possibilities I will narrow down when I finish the Black Friday EOW Review with the Green Panda as next week will be a big institutional EOY Profits and Losses lock in week with the S&P, DOW and NASDAQ Underlyings.

These are some of my SPY Puts (Today was a slow day with light trading action) to take advantage of the C Wave moves lower...

Symbol Last Price $ Change $ Change % Qty  Price Paid $ Days Gain $ Total Gain $ Total Gain %
SPYJan 18 19 $220 Put 0.72 0.06 8.45% 10 0.77 60.00* -15.04 -1.92%
SPYFeb 15 19 $200 Put 0.56 0.04 6.25% 90 0.5656 315.00* 198.91 3.86%
SPYFeb 15 19 $220 Put 1.44 0.11 7.81% 20 1.305 210.00* 269.81 10.26%

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ESZ201...-Up-Trend/
This is essentially the continuation of MW4 (MajorWave 4) Down to 2200/2250 with 3 possible shorter term targets A=C, A=C*1.50, A=C*1.618 extensions.

1. A 341 (B 2817-341) = C 2468 (2450)
2. B 2817 - (A*1.50 or 511) = 2306 (2300)
3. B2817 - (A*1.618 or 551) = 2266 (2250)
(Note S&P 500 Futures Markets Move in 50s and 100s due to Institutional Large Block Trade Targets)

For MW Waves along SuperCycles refer to:
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/eJuQrhx0/

NOTE: These discussions and any associated thread posts are not intended as investment advice in any way shape or form and is mentioned for informational purposes only now that we are entering a Major 40 Year S&P Supercycle Wave 3 to 4 Top Turning Reversal. Seek competent professional advice to determine your risk tolerance before trading Options or Futures contracts. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.
(This post was last modified: 11-23-2018 02:00 PM by Deepdiver.)
11-23-2018 01:32 PM
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RE: Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread
(11-22-2018 10:58 PM)Denzel Wrote:  SP500 broke 2650. B waves are notorious and my analysis show that this might go to 2450-2500 -especially if it breaks the recent lows soon) or 2800+. This might not seem like a useful information......unless one buys a straddle Smile

By the way, GE options can give incredible returns. I think there might be one more low for GE and this is the time to buy options. Of course, it might go further south but who cares when you accept how much to lose.....For the record, I hold call options that I bought for 4 cents but I paid $100 in totalSmile This is how much I am willing to lose. The potential is huge so I had to buy it given the risk-reward ratio.

Deepdiver, thanks for bringing GE to my attention.

(11-14-2018 04:22 PM)Denzel Wrote:  The highest probability case for SP500....We should touch the 2650-2685 region tomorrow or so. I plan to buy SPY calls (in installments) by watching for oversold conditions and positive divergence in this region. If this case is realized, then the bounce is expected to be strong.

If SP500 breaks 2650ish, the alternate is.... we will be going south but this has a lower probability right now. It is important to know the alternate as one can respond accordingly.

FYI Ran a regression trend channel from the GE Jun 15, 2016, Swing High of $33 to the current 52 Wk swing low of $7.53 well below the RMS Mid-point of $10.00. Interesting to note that the Low Edge of the Regression Trend were respected in the Mar and Apr 2018 dips and therefore the low edge of the Regression Trend Channel is now $5.65 with the previous Swing Low of $5.73 in March of 2009 as strong support before a potential Culp Turn Around and run back up to the current VPVR TPOs POC of short-term $13.02 and long-term POC (including the July 2016 swing high) of 30.21 target on any solid turn around news and follow through by the TPS Team Culp.

Holding GE Calls:
Symbol Last Price $ Change $ Change % Qty  Price Paid $
GEJan 18 19 $14 CallTrade 0.02 0.00 0.00% 100 0.024
CloseRoll10302018 0.02 0.00 0.00% 10 0.06
CloseRoll11072018 0.02 0.00 0.00% 10 0.05
CloseRoll11162018 0.02 0.00 0.00% 50 0.02
CloseRoll11202018 0.02 0.00 0.00% 30 0.01

$13.02 = Big Returns, $30.21 = YUUUUGE Returns.

NOTE: These discussions and any associated thread posts are not intended as investment advice in any way shape or form and is mentioned for informational purposes only now that we are entering a Major 40 Year S&P Supercycle Wave 3 to 4 Top Turning Reversal. Seek competent professional advice to determine your risk tolerance before trading Options or Futures contracts. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.
(This post was last modified: 11-23-2018 02:04 PM by Deepdiver.)
11-23-2018 01:52 PM
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RE: Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread
Updated S&P ESZ2018 Emini Futures A-B-C Against long SuperCycle Up Trend

This is essentially the continuation of MW4 Down with 3 possible targets A=C, A=C*0.618, A=C*1.618

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ESZ201...uperCycle/

1. A 341 (B 2817-341) = C 2468 (2450)
2. B 2817 - (A*0.618 or 210) = 2607 (2600) "Failed Wave C"
3. B 2817 - (A*1.618 or 551) = 2266 (2250) "Extended Wave C, 80% Probability)
Note Proper A-B-C since B retraced 0.618*A

For MW Waves along SuperCycles refer to:
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/eJuQrhx0/
11-24-2018 01:09 PM
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RE: Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread
GLD Update above I ran a Fibonacci Retracement of the GLD ETF operated by said same SPY Folks - the GLD ETF notorious for holding physical gold only with no leverage via Gold Futures and other paper certificate Swiss and Singapore shenanigans.

New Chart of GLD ABC wave with 5 Subwave B:
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GLD/Sp...-Subwaves/
Wave 5 is most indeterminant therefore Wv 5 may equal .38 or .50 or .618 as Failed Wave 5 (Shown Wave 1=Wave5) and if failed and closes above current POC likely to make a run to Top of C especially if Dow, S&P, and NASDAQ continue to correct GLD is a flight to safety destination haven

Weekly chart Swing high of GLD ETF was $129.50 in Jan and Retest April 2018 then complete a failed wave 5 with impulsing wave 3 2018 low of 111 in Aug 2018 with a retest of the low in Sept - now seems to be mirroring Peter Schiffs warning alarms (This time) and running up a ABC wave against trend to a 50% Retracement at $120 and .618 retracement at $122.

Therefore as I see GLD ABC wave uptrend confirmed I added the following GLD Call Option to my Watchlist:

Symbol LastPrice$ Change$ Change% Qty PriceWhenAdded DateAdded TotalGain$ TotalGain% Value$
GLD Jun 28 19 $120 Call 3.30 0.46 16.20% 1 2.84 11/20/2018 41.00 14.44% 330.00
GLD Feb 15 19 $120 Call 1.31 0.12 10.08% 1 1.19 11/20/2018 8.00 6.72% 131.00

Note longer term June GLD $120 Calls up 14.4% today and Feb 120 Calls only Up 6.7% - I suspect this is because traders listening to the Doom and Gloom warnings of Peter Schiff, Martin Armstrong, Jim Rickards, Doug Casey that Cryptos can be a store of Value as long as their prices are not collapsing yet the three Guarantors of Generational Wealth Preservation through both War and Peace has been productive land to grow food (Farms, Orchards, Vineyards etc., Estates), Old Masters Fine Art and Gold and Silver. As we are at a Top Turning Point of the 40 Year Markets SuperCycle looking at Major Wave impulsing down at a lot of traders not comfortable with shorting Options and Futures will rush to safety being Gold and Large Gold ETFs where they do not have to take physical delivery.

NOTE: These discussions and any associated thread posts are not intended as investment advice in any way shape or form and is mentioned for informational purposes only now that we are entering a Major 40 Year S&P Supercycle Wave 3 to 4 Top Turning Reversal. Seek competent professional advice to determine your risk tolerance before trading Options or Futures contracts. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.
(This post was last modified: 11-24-2018 01:21 PM by Deepdiver.)
11-24-2018 01:20 PM
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RE: Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread
Interesting Newsletter Today Regarding Commodities:

Regular readers know that the U.S.-China trade war is a recurring topic here at the Diary. As Bill correctly noted, history tells us that trade wars can be devastating for global economies.

But fears over the trade dispute may actually be overblown. That’s the message from today’s guest editor, Casey Research’s globetrotting resource expert Dave Forest. Read on to see why Dave believes the trade war could kickstart one forgotten industry.

The Trade War Will Kickstart this Forgotten Industry
By Dave Forest, Editor, International Speculator

David Forest

I believe we are just at the start of a monster bull market…

But I’m not talking about bonds or U.S. stocks. I believe we’re kicking off a historic bull market in commodities.

The commodities market is highly cyclical. And you don’t want to get caught in a commodities bear. They can be brutal.

But when commodities run up, they really run. In the commodities bull market from 1971 to 1974, the GSCI – an index of 24 exchange-traded futures contracts that represent a large portion of the global commodities market – returned 371%. In the 1999 to 2008 bull, it climbed 454%. I believe those are the sort of returns we can expect in the years ahead.

But there’s one thing that’s got resource investors nervous: the ongoing trade war.

Today, I’ll show you why those fears are overblown. Then, I’ll reveal an unseen detail of the trade war that may actually help commodities in 2019 and beyond.

Trade War Jitters
Commodities investors, in general, have been jittery over the trade war. But it’s particularly true of mining investors.

In June, the White House slapped a 25% tariff on some $50 billion worth of Chinese imports. Copper prices fell 22% from early June to mid-August.

Other base metals fell as well. Nickel dropped about 23% between June and August. Zinc plunged about 28% over the same time.

But, if you look at the details of the tariffs, you see that none of these metals were targeted. It was finished products such as lasers and laundry equipment that were singled out. But investors assumed the worst and hit the sell button all the same.

We’ve seen a rebound in some of these metals’ prices since then. Copper has jumped about 5% since the end of August. Zinc is up about 6%.

One of the catalysts was likely the new trade deal between the U.S., Canada, and Mexico.

President Trump wasn’t a fan of its predecessor – the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). He thought it was a “bad deal” for the U.S.

The concern was that ripping up NAFTA would be bad for steel and other metals that cross between Mexico, Canada, and the U.S.

But then, in late September, these countries struck this new trade deal – the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA). We don’t have to get into all the details about the deal. Investors were likely just happy that something got done. Copper traded at a three-month high shortly after.

And there was another piece of news that got almost no coverage.

On September 30, China’s Ministry of Finance announced it was slashing tariffs on base metals and steel from 11.5% to 8.4%. Tariffs on other mineral imports were cut from 6.6% to 5.4%.

Why would China reduce tariffs in the midst of a trade war? Because Chinese consumers need it…

Desperate for Metals
China is one of the fastest-growing economies in the world. It’ll soon have the largest middle class in the world. That economic growth is impossible without copper and nickel.

Copper is used in building construction, consumer electronics, and automobiles. And China is heavily dependent on copper imports.

In 2017, Chinese smelters put out about 8 million tonnes of refined copper. But the country mined only about 2 million tonnes. They had to import the rest.

Chart
The demand for copper is forecast to rise to about 10 million tonnes by 2020. But production will stay more-or-less flat.

It’s simple. The growing demand for refined copper in China far outweighs what the country can dig out of the ground each year. This shortfall has to be made up in imports.

It’s a similar story with nickel.

China wants to be the world leader in electric vehicle (EV) production. Nickel is an essential metal for EV batteries.

But again, China can’t mine enough nickel to keep up with production. Only about 14% of the nickel that goes into Chinese smelters is mined domestically.

Chart
Neither China nor the U.S. wants a trade war. It slows down economic growth. Neither country wants to see that happen.

My hunch is that a lot of this is political posturing. There’s a good chance these trade disputes will get resolved sooner than people think.

What do you think will happen for commodities if the U.S.-China trade spat officially ends? It’ll be off to the races for commodities.

And finally, there’s one last detail I unearthed that’s bullish for commodities…

Rebirth of American Mining
The Trump administration is actively supporting the growth and expansion of the domestic mining sector.

Countries are learning that you can’t be too dependent on others for your essential commodities. Politically motivated tariffs and other sanctions could quickly disrupt your entire supply chain.

As an example, China supplies about 78% of the rare earth elements (REEs) imported by the U.S. REEs are a group of 17 chemically similar minerals that tend to be found in the same ore deposits. These elements are used in everything from microphones to wind turbines to electric motors in hybrid vehicles.

But the U.S. is dependent on China for its REE imports. If China decided to stop shipping REEs… or if it slapped punitive tariffs on them… U.S. manufacturers of products containing REEs would be in a tough spot.

So, instead of relying on China, the U.S. is looking to kickstart domestic mining. In September, Congress approved a $727 million funding package for fossil fuels research – a key focus being to extract rare earth elements from U.S. coal deposits.

And it’s not just rare earths.

In June, Congress passed a bill simplifying and streamlining the permitting process for extracting “critical and strategic metals.”

That makes it easier for American miners to set up shop and get a mine up and running.

This government support is attracting major mining firms to the U.S. at a rate I’ve never seen before in my more than two decades in this business.

Trade war fears are overblown. The U.S.-China trade dispute is no excuse to sit out the coming bull market in commodities. This is a trend you’ll want to keep on your radar for the foreseeable future.

Regards,

signature
Dave Forest

P.S. I told you above how the American government passed a bill in June that makes it easier for American miners to set up shop. And I believe I know why the federal government took this step…

American miners are currently on the hunt for something I refer to as “Brandt oil.” It’s not a type of shale oil. In fact, it’s not a fossil fuel at all. But “Brandt oil” will be the fuel you use to power your car in the near future. Mining companies able to extract this material will soar by triple digits in the years ahead.
11-24-2018 01:30 PM
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RE: Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread
Trump China Money Bomb trade FXI Popped quite a bit today on possible rumors of Trump Xi getting down to working out their beefs in Argentina at G20. Chew on that Pun.

FXI was in a strong 5 wave up trend from Feb 2016 to Jan 2018 (Cross above 200 Wk MA on wave 1 confirming trend) then A BC down from Jan 2018 ($54) to Nov 2018 ($37) - I bought 40 Feb 15'19 $48 Calls - likely on Trump Xi and Larry Kudlow less hard line flexibility on Trade War settlement - FXI underlying popped up to $42.20

Laddered Call (3) Trade Results:

10/12 20 calls paid 0.15 sold 0.16 gain 7.8%
10/25 10 calls paid 0.12 sold 0.16 gain 30.7%
10/25 10 calls paid 0.08 sold 0.16 gain 88.7%

Average gain over 30 days = 55%

Do not expect Trump to kiss Xis butt unless he gets a serious deal now that we won the Mississippi US Senate seat with a GOP Moderate Woman to kick the Obama Bro Espy's liberal butt - so Trump has strong Senate GOP Defensive Majority now focused on 2020 and winning as well as to BTFO the leftist liberal psychos in the House (Nadler, Schitt, Mad Max Waters, Ocasio-Che-Castro, et.al. who make Pelosi look like a reasonable DEM moderate by comparison).

The markets likely to roil with EOY Tax Loss Selling and continuation of S&P Supercycle Wave 4 that the FXI appears to follow and will run up again on positive Trade War settlement especially if it coincides with SCwave 4 bottom turn to SCwave 5 up.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/FXI/cZ...-patterns/

NOTE: These discussions and any associated thread posts are not intended as investment advice in any way shape or form and is mentioned for informational purposes only now that we are entering a Major 40 Year S&P Supercycle Wave 3 to 4 Top Turning Reversal. Seek competent professional advice to determine your risk tolerance before trading Options or Futures contracts. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.

Deepdiver the OG Hunter-Killer ... NBF - Nuke Boats Forever!
"You do not have to be a perfect person to be a perfect PATRIOT!"

Official Whitehouse.gov President Donald John Trump's real achievements: https://www.whitehouse.gov/trump-adminis...lishments/

Communist Freaking Red China's Plan to Undermine the USA and the West:
https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/up...18-PDF.pdf

The Naked Communists:
https://wrathoftheawakenedsaxon.wordpres...-download/
(This post was last modified: 11-28-2018 05:15 PM by Deepdiver.)
11-28-2018 05:11 PM
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RE: Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread
Its Happening:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ESZ201...wing-High/

Subsequent to ESZ2018 Long ( ATH ) ABC and Shorter Golden Ratio Swing High Double Top (B wave) now into impulsing C wave down to possible targets - could be a 5X+ Depending upon Momentum combined with Intrinsic Moves...

A=C
A=C*.618 failed C
A=C* 1.618 extension of C

Todays SPY PUTS Action up 90% to 115% Today alone....

Symbol Actions LastPrice$ Change$ Change%
SPYFeb 15 19 $220 Put 0.85 0.45 105.95%
SPYJan 18 19 $220 Put 0.42 0.23 115.38%
SPYFeb 15 19 $200 Put 0.37 0.18 89.74%

NOTE: These discussions and any associated thread posts are not intended as investment advice in any way shape or form and is mentioned for informational purposes only now that we are entering a Major 40 Year S&P Supercycle Wave 3 to 4 Top Turning Reversal. Seek competent professional advice to determine your risk tolerance before trading Options or Futures contracts. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.

Deepdiver the OG Hunter-Killer ... NBF - Nuke Boats Forever!
"You do not have to be a perfect person to be a perfect PATRIOT!"

Official Whitehouse.gov President Donald John Trump's real achievements: https://www.whitehouse.gov/trump-adminis...lishments/

Communist Freaking Red China's Plan to Undermine the USA and the West:
https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/up...18-PDF.pdf

The Naked Communists:
https://wrathoftheawakenedsaxon.wordpres...-download/
12-04-2018 04:52 PM
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Post: #94
RE: Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread
Posting my Spy Feb 2019 Puts Ladder from 200 up to 300 in $10 increments

DOW 25,027.07 -799.36 (-3.10%) NASDAQ 7,158.42 0.00 (0.00%) S&P500 2,700.06 -90.31 (-3.24%) as of 10:09AM ET

Market is closed today for GHWB 41's Remembrance so a review of yesterday's action:

Symbol LastPrice$ Change$ Change% Qty PriceWhenAdded Date Added
SPY Feb 15 19 $300 Put 28.19 5.70 25.34% 1 0.00 11/01/2018
SPY Feb 15 19 $290 Put 21.14 7.69 57.17% 1 20.52 11/01/2018
SPY Feb 15 19 $280 Put 13.56 5.81 74.97% 1 13.16 11/01/2018
SPY Feb 15 19 $270 Put 8.54 3.89 83.66% 1 8.90 11/01/2018
SPY Feb 15 19 $260 Put 5.28 2.51 90.61% 1 6.06 11/01/2018
SPY Feb 15 19 $250 Put 3.26 1.56 91.76% 1 4.30 11/01/2018
SPY Feb 15 19 $240 Put 2.09 1.05 100.96% 1 3.11 11/01/2018
SPY Feb 15 19 $230 Put 1.35 0.71 110.94% 1 2.04 11/01/2018
SPY Feb 15 19 $220 Put 0.85 0.43 102.38% 1 1.47 11/01/2018
SPY Feb 15 19 $210 Put 0.56 0.26 86.67% 1 1.04 11/01/2018
SPY Feb 15 19 $200 Put 0.37 0.15 68.18% 1 0.66 11/01/2018

Sweet Spot were 220s to 240s

Jim Cramer on why market tanked 800 pts (Dow) and 90 pts S&P 500:
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/12/04/cramer-t...trace.html

As CNBC's Jim Cramer watched stocks nosedive in Tuesday's trading session, one thing became abundantly clear to the longtime market-watcher: it "was all about the rise of the machines."

The major averages all fell more than 2 percent as a possible slowdown signal in the bond market and lingering trade fears rattled investors. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell more than 800 points intraday.

Some attributed the dramatic declines to a lack of buyers, but Cramer already knew the culprits: complex algorithmic programs set up by professional money managers to sell when the odds of future market losses increase.

In other words, when an event that often precedes a recession occurs — in Tuesday's case, short-term interest rates trading above long-term rates in a so-called yield curve inversion — some trading algorithms will automatically begin selling securities because the chances of an economic slowdown just got higher.

Cramer, host of "Mad Money," drew a comparison with football. Some plays can seem very risky, but when you consider the percentage chances of them going right, there's no choice but to implement them in the field. These programs make the same kind of calculation.

So, when the two-year and the five-year yield curves inverted on Tuesday, some hedge funds' programs automatically sold the S&P 500, which tends to fall in times of economic weakness, and others automatically sold shares of the big banks, which suffer when long-term rates are lower, Cramer said.

So the fact that short Term Treasury % rates went above longer term in a classic Yield Inversion is as Cramer pointed out as Predictive and therefore another confirmation that we will continue the Supercycle Wave 4 down in current SubWave Impulsing 3 down:

S&P Futures:
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ESZ201...wing-High/

SPX "Cash": Green 5 Waves SuperCycle, Purple Major Subwaves, White Major Wave SubWaves:
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPX/5f...ves-3-4-5/

Deepdiver the OG Hunter-Killer ... NBF - Nuke Boats Forever!
"You do not have to be a perfect person to be a perfect PATRIOT!"

Official Whitehouse.gov President Donald John Trump's real achievements: https://www.whitehouse.gov/trump-adminis...lishments/

Communist Freaking Red China's Plan to Undermine the USA and the West:
https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/up...18-PDF.pdf

The Naked Communists:
https://wrathoftheawakenedsaxon.wordpres...-download/
12-05-2018 12:01 PM
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RE: Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread
SPY PUTs up another 30% to 50% today:
Symbol Last Price $ Change $ Change %
SPYFeb 15 19 $220 Put 1.33 0.32 36.99%
SPYJan 18 19 $220 Put 0.64 0.21 50.00%
SPYFeb 15 19 $200 Put 0.48 0.13 35.14%

Targets:
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ESZ201...g-C-waves/

NOTE: These discussions and any associated thread posts are not intended as investment advice in any way shape or form and is mentioned for informational purposes only now that we are entering a Major 40 Year S&P Supercycle Wave 3 to 4 Top Turning Reversal. Seek competent professional advice to determine your risk tolerance before trading Options or Futures contracts. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.

Deepdiver the OG Hunter-Killer ... NBF - Nuke Boats Forever!
"You do not have to be a perfect person to be a perfect PATRIOT!"

Official Whitehouse.gov President Donald John Trump's real achievements: https://www.whitehouse.gov/trump-adminis...lishments/

Communist Freaking Red China's Plan to Undermine the USA and the West:
https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/up...18-PDF.pdf

The Naked Communists:
https://wrathoftheawakenedsaxon.wordpres...-download/
12-06-2018 02:28 PM
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Post: #96
RE: Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread
Deepdiver, great job man.

One alternate possibility count is that a triangle might be forming. If so, it will give a great shorting opportunity around 2790-2830ish. Either way, the end result will not change as I agree with the lowest target in your graph. Once, this is below 2600, this will end up south of 2500 but we can talk about it when the time comes.



(12-06-2018 02:28 PM)Deepdiver Wrote:  SPY PUTs up another 30% to 50% today:
Symbol Last Price $ Change $ Change %
SPYFeb 15 19 $220 Put 1.33 0.32 36.99%
SPYJan 18 19 $220 Put 0.64 0.21 50.00%
SPYFeb 15 19 $200 Put 0.48 0.13 35.14%

Targets:
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ESZ201...g-C-waves/

NOTE: These discussions and any associated thread posts are not intended as investment advice in any way shape or form and is mentioned for informational purposes only now that we are entering a Major 40 Year S&P Supercycle Wave 3 to 4 Top Turning Reversal. Seek competent professional advice to determine your risk tolerance before trading Options or Futures contracts. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.
(This post was last modified: 12-06-2018 08:54 PM by Denzel.)
12-06-2018 08:39 PM
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Deepdiver Offline
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RE: Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread
The following MW article and chart shows the Mega Cycle above my SuperCycle and Sub-MajorCycle analysis - was a bit of an eye opener and holding my PUTs for Now ... Takeaways 200 Year +/- Mega Cycle Target MegaWave III up to 4,117 and then down to MegaCycle Wave IV at 1,000. Of course the 1,000 target can be 10 years out meaning 10 years of stagflation unless imnsho Trump goes for a radical reset (Ends the Fed and Renew a new Gold/Precious Metals backed Currency perhaps with Crypto ease of use and low cost payment and transfer to give us a global competitive advantage - Of course will have to "renegotiate the $21 Trillion & additional 21 Trillion Black Budgets) National Debt giving the NWO Globalists a real haircut and why the Globalists are after Trump with a Vengeance and why the US Military and the MIC are protecting him in a mutual aid society. Just Saying

Also Clif High indicating major Financial Panic in 2019 as Euro Govs Fall due to revolutions thing Yellow Jackets with Arms and Military Support... BTC & its Forks and Alts to Soar and markets in Panic - think freefall... https://youtu.be/13SzAcsVQUg

So enjoy this Holiday Season because as the Chinese Curse goes - We are about to live in Interesting Times...

Opinion: Elliott Wave theory suggests an unsettling event will occur in the stock market
By Avi Gilburt
Published: Dec 3, 2018 11:13 a.m. ET
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/elliot...2018-12-03

We’re due for a prolonged bear market

image.png
I often read articles, along with the comments, to gauge the stock market’s sentiment from an anecdotal perspective. I recently noticed a quote by investor Sir John Templeton:

“For 100 years optimists have carried the day in U.S. stocks. Even in the dark ’70s, many professional money managers, and many individual investors too, made money in stocks, especially those of smaller companies.

“There will, of course, be corrections, perhaps even crashes. But, over time, our studies indicate stocks do go up. As national economies become more integrated and interdependent, as communication becomes easier and cheaper, business is likely to boom. Trade and travel will grow. Wealth will increase. And stock prices should rise accordingly.”

This is certainly an appropriate assessment of the past 100 years. But what happens if we are now approaching an event that we only experience once in a hundred years?

I have written bullish stock market articles for many years. And I still think we have a number of good years ahead of us. However, the same patterns that profitably guided us on the long side of the market are showing a different future.

Past calls

Those who have followed me for a number of years have read calls that did not make sense at the time but often came to fruition. Some include the top of metals in 2011 (when most of the market was certain of $2,000-plus an ounce for gold), the rally in the dollar from 73 to 103 (when most were certain that quantitative easing would cause the dollar to crash), the bottom in gold in 2015 (when most were certain of sub-$1,000 gold), and the S&P 500 Index’s SPX, -3.24% rally to 3,000 points (yes, I was off by a few points on this one), just to name a few.

I have outlined the methodology I use to identify major turning points, yet many still assume I use voodoo or analysis of goat entrails.

But as you can see from the attached chart, I am looking for wave 3 off the 2009 lows to top out, and to then begin a 30% correction. However, once that correction runs its course, I think we will see several more years of a rally before this bull market, which began in 2009, will come to an end. And, worse yet, I think we can enter a bear market that can last as long as 20 years, rivaling the depths of the market during the Great Depression.


You see, when we top out in wave V of (III) on my monthly chart, the ensuing wave (IV) is of the same degree as the Great Depression, as that was the wave (II) within this very long term 5-wave Elliott Wave structure. And while we know that history does repeat itself (maybe not exactly, but it certainly does rhyme), I think the probabilities of seeing a similar environment to that of the Great Depression will be quite elevated, especially as we approach the bottom of the c-wave of wave (IV).

What is most interesting is that while Sir John Templeton’s statement is true for the past 80 years, it is only viewing the markets in a long-term uptrend. That is especially true if you view it after the Great Depression. However, financial markets are not linear. So, assuming markets will continue in the same manner as they have for the past 80 years is not really the correct way to view our financial markets.

Prediction in 1940

Back in 1940, Ralph Nelson Elliott, the founder of Elliott Wave theory, provided many with what is likely the best market call of all time:

“[1941] should mark the final correction of the 13-year pattern of defeatism. This termination will also mark the beginning of a new Supercylce wave (V), comparable in many respects with the long [advance] from 1857 to 1929. Supercycle (V) is not expected to culminate until about 2012.”

While I think Elliott was off a bit on the timing, as I think we may not be completing this rally just yet, consider that his prediction for a massive multi-decade bull market was made when World War II was raging around him. Personally, I view this as the best market call of all time.

So, while standing on the shoulders of giants such as Ralph Nelson Elliott, my view is that the next major top we see in a few years from now may usher in a period to rival that of the Great Depression, but potentially over a more protracted period.

The main reason I think it will potentially last for more than 10 years is because the 4th wave of one lesser degree (outlined by the a-b-c structure in blue IV between 2000-2009) is a 4th wave of one lesser degree, and that lasted for nine years. A 4th wave of a greater degree will likely take much longer than one of a lesser degree.

Now, we all know that we cannot clearly see the future. As Yogi Berra once said, “It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future.” So we deal with markets from a probabilistic perspective. Therefore, I will also note my alternative perspective, presented in dark green on the attached monthly chart, which still would see a four- to eight-year bear market (alt (2)), but can project this bull run off the 2009 lows to continue for much longer.

Unfortunately, we will not be able to make any assessments about this more bullish potential for probably at least 10 years from now. And for those who have followed us over the long term, you know that we always view the market as it presents itself to us, and not as we assume it to be. But I think it to be quite prudent to prepare for the worst, and hope for the best.

As we get closer to the major top I see in the markets, I will likely write an article that will address my longer-term expectations on the markets. While I have discussed some of them with the members of my services, and have alluded to some of the issues I see in my public writing, I think we have strong potential to enter an environment unlike one we have experienced in 100 years. However, we have seen glimpses and warnings of it during the past decade.

View Avi’s long-term SPX chart in an expandable format. (Top Above)

Avi Gilburt is a widely followed Elliott Wave technical analyst and founder of ElliottWaveTrader.net, a live trading room featuring his intraday market analysis (including e-mini S&P 500, metals, oil, USD and VXX), interactive member-analyst forum, and detailed library of Elliott Wave education.

Deepdiver the OG Hunter-Killer ... NBF - Nuke Boats Forever!
"You do not have to be a perfect person to be a perfect PATRIOT!"

Official Whitehouse.gov President Donald John Trump's real achievements: https://www.whitehouse.gov/trump-adminis...lishments/

Communist Freaking Red China's Plan to Undermine the USA and the West:
https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/up...18-PDF.pdf

The Naked Communists:
https://wrathoftheawakenedsaxon.wordpres...-download/
(This post was last modified: 12-07-2018 01:43 PM by Deepdiver.)
12-07-2018 01:42 PM
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Deepdiver Offline
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Post: #98
RE: Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread
(12-06-2018 08:39 PM)Denzel Wrote:  Deepdiver, great job man.

One alternate possibility count is that a triangle might be forming. If so, it will give a great shorting opportunity around 2790-2830ish. Either way, the end result will not change as I agree with the lowest target in your graph. Once, this is below 2600, this will end up south of 2500 but we can talk about it when the time comes.



(12-06-2018 02:28 PM)Deepdiver Wrote:  SPY PUTs up another 30% to 50% today:
Symbol Last Price $ Change $ Change %
SPYFeb 15 19 $220 Put 1.33 0.32 36.99%
SPYJan 18 19 $220 Put 0.64 0.21 50.00%
SPYFeb 15 19 $200 Put 0.48 0.13 35.14%

Targets:
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ESZ201...g-C-waves/

NOTE: These discussions and any associated thread posts are not intended as investment advice in any way shape or form and is mentioned for informational purposes only now that we are entering a Major 40 Year S&P Supercycle Wave 3 to 4 Top Turning Reversal. Seek competent professional advice to determine your risk tolerance before trading Options or Futures contracts. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.

Denzel - Thanks - I'm always open to looking at markets in multiple ways - never want to overlook any key data.

Will meet the Green Panda for Friday Night EOW Review and will try to add some timing to the SuperCycle/SubMajorCycle/SubIntermediateCycle timeframes in additional to targets using as many of his 51 Mathematical modeling confirmations as possible.

Deepdiver the OG Hunter-Killer ... NBF - Nuke Boats Forever!
"You do not have to be a perfect person to be a perfect PATRIOT!"

Official Whitehouse.gov President Donald John Trump's real achievements: https://www.whitehouse.gov/trump-adminis...lishments/

Communist Freaking Red China's Plan to Undermine the USA and the West:
https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/up...18-PDF.pdf

The Naked Communists:
https://wrathoftheawakenedsaxon.wordpres...-download/
(This post was last modified: 12-07-2018 02:20 PM by Deepdiver.)
12-07-2018 01:46 PM
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Deepdiver Offline
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Post: #99
RE: Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread
Greg Manarino - Bounce to pocket EOY Bonuses for CEOs then Hard Selloff... So ride Puts and Hold Cash or Vice Verse.




https://youtu.be/swEm9-dRcA8

Market Runs in Cycles and the Sheep Get Fleeced - Unless you see and predict the coming Cycles and prudent PUT and Call your way to Financial Survival and Freedom...

Deepdiver the OG Hunter-Killer ... NBF - Nuke Boats Forever!
"You do not have to be a perfect person to be a perfect PATRIOT!"

Official Whitehouse.gov President Donald John Trump's real achievements: https://www.whitehouse.gov/trump-adminis...lishments/

Communist Freaking Red China's Plan to Undermine the USA and the West:
https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/up...18-PDF.pdf

The Naked Communists:
https://wrathoftheawakenedsaxon.wordpres...-download/
(This post was last modified: 12-07-2018 02:19 PM by Deepdiver.)
12-07-2018 01:50 PM
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Deepdiver Offline
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Post: #100
RE: Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread
Peter Schiff - Fed now Raising rates more sure to cause Recession because we have so much Fed induced ZIRP Debt that the economy can't even afford 2% interest rates so when the cause recession next year they must go back to zero 0% rates and from QT to QE(4)... due to much bigger debt bubble that that which Popped in 2008 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ma_2H0bzF8k



Deepdiver the OG Hunter-Killer ... NBF - Nuke Boats Forever!
"You do not have to be a perfect person to be a perfect PATRIOT!"

Official Whitehouse.gov President Donald John Trump's real achievements: https://www.whitehouse.gov/trump-adminis...lishments/

Communist Freaking Red China's Plan to Undermine the USA and the West:
https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/up...18-PDF.pdf

The Naked Communists:
https://wrathoftheawakenedsaxon.wordpres...-download/
(This post was last modified: 12-07-2018 02:18 PM by Deepdiver.)
12-07-2018 02:17 PM
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