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The RVF worst-case-scenario survival/preparedness thread.
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Foolsgo1d Offline
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Post: #101
RE: The RVF worst-case-scenario survival/preparedness thread.
I'd prefer a shotgun. It would not give me a false sense of security of going into situations where I have a semi/full-auto rifle with a big clip and hoping to be king of the hill.
01-16-2019 01:30 PM
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Baphomet Offline
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Post: #102
RE: The RVF worst-case-scenario survival/preparedness thread.
Technically, a "worst case scenario" would be something like a 20 mile wide asteroid hitting the planet at about 30,000 MPH. All your guns, water filters, and MREs will not another minute buy...

When thinking about "prepping" you're probably better off thinking about "emergency preparedness" instead. This means that you develop a table of emergency events that are most likely to occur in your location.

Someone in Nebraska, isn't going to have to worry much about hurricanes, but they damn well need to worry about tornadoes.

As others have mentioned, there is no limit to how much you can spend on "preps." There are guys who have multiple buildings on their land filled to the rafters with beans, rice, spare auto parts, water barrels, medical supplies, etc. The odds are very good that they will die of old age, before they actually start using any of those supplies. They are prepping for "The End Of The World As We Know It."

Barring an extinction event like the aforementioned asteroid impact, simple momentum will see the entire world and civilization in general trundle onward. Especially in 1st world nations, like the US.

Now that is not to say that shit can't hit the fan LOCALLY. Katrina was a fine example of a major disaster event that brutally affected a locality, but left most of the US largely untouched.

Katrina also served to demonstrate how impotent Government is to help during real disasters. (I'm pretty sure that various Church groups from the states around LA were the first on the scene with aid.) In an area prone to hurricanes and flooding, the vast majority of people there seemed to utterly disregard their duty to prepare for a crisis.

I use a simple formula when considering emergency preparedness. I multiply the number of days the worst prior emergency in my area lasted (the principle event, and the aftermath) by three.

So in my area at the time, after hurricane Hugo, we were without power for 5 days, and it was another 10 days before there was a sense of normalcy about things like traffic, grocery store lines, filling station lines, and the like. Multiply that time by 3 - 45 days - and you have what I consider to be a reasonable "safe prep" goal.

Because no events with a longer duration of disturbance (15 days) have occurred since Cat 5 Hugo (1989), AND as events go, it was very destructive, 45 days of supplies should be adequate to get through any LIKELY event.

I say "likely" because I'm operating from the table of probable emergency events for my preparedness. I do not fault those who want to go balls on fire into prepping for TEOTWAWKI. Each man has to decide that for themselves. However, I do not buy into the instant societal collapse scenarios.
01-16-2019 03:04 PM
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Renzy
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Post: #103
RE: The RVF worst-case-scenario survival/preparedness thread.
(01-16-2019 03:04 PM)Baphomet Wrote:  Technically, a "worst case scenario" would be something like a 20 mile wide asteroid hitting the planet at about 30,000 MPH. All your guns, water filters, and MREs will not another minute buy...

When thinking about "prepping" you're probably better off thinking about "emergency preparedness" instead. This means that you develop a table of emergency events that are most likely to occur in your location.

Someone in Nebraska, isn't going to have to worry much about hurricanes, but they damn well need to worry about tornadoes.

As others have mentioned, there is no limit to how much you can spend on "preps." There are guys who have multiple buildings on their land filled to the rafters with beans, rice, spare auto parts, water barrels, medical supplies, etc. The odds are very good that they will die of old age, before they actually start using any of those supplies. They are prepping for "The End Of The World As We Know It."

Barring an extinction event like the aforementioned asteroid impact, simple momentum will see the entire world and civilization in general trundle onward. Especially in 1st world nations, like the US.

I've got a handful of contacts on the ground in Vzla. By all appearances over the weekend Venezuela was targeted for intense Psyops over the weekend by USG.NSA and on Monday USG.State loudly announced their intention to mount a "color" revolution.

Wat do?

The time to get out was 2013-2015 and more than one contact did during that window only to find themselves back in the boiler.

Venezuela faces the prospect of getting triple teamed by the US, NATO prospect Colombia, and new empire Brasil while aggravating all parties with Maduro's likely ability to sink a US aircraft carrier or two with chinese missiles bought with the oil and mineral wealth he wasn't spending on arepas to feed the generally Bolivarian people.

Wat do indeed?

These contacts are located in the sorts of nice suburbs the US as typically appropriated for their own forward operating bases. Generally they dislike how they have been frog boiled by Maduro, but when they look at how unhumanitarian US humanitarian interventions are...

Wat do?

The best way out is a plane ticket, but it has to be got and used before the airport either gets turned into a forward operating base or cratered into uselessness. These are fairly well of people who have visa free travel to the rest of South America, but... once again...

Wat do?
Today 01:44 AM
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