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Making Money Your big bets for 2019-2020?
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rungoodinc Offline
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Post: #26
RE: Your big bets for 2019-2020?
SHOP (up 140% this year) and BTC
08-18-2019 05:37 PM
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Kid Twist Offline
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Post: #27
RE: Your big bets for 2019-2020?
(08-18-2019 01:42 PM)zoom Wrote:  ^^ So Trump is mad that China is supposedly manipulating their currency and yet he expects the FED to manipulate the USD? The guy is a clown.

The yield-curve predicted the last 5 recessions. We're definitely due for a recession in this debt-fueled economy and the most recent jobs reports have not been good, despite how Kudlow and the Trump administration wants to spin it.

You aren't understanding that we haven't seen this kind of international capital flight INTO our country in memory. Why? Ask the ECB and BOJ ConfusedArrow

That's what's funny about the "this time it's different" sarcasm. Tell me the last time two major world economy banks had negative rates. And are buying up more of their broke ass assets. And the Chinese people don't even trust that game they are playing over there, so they take huge losses just for stable (real estate, bonds, etc) assets in the only safe haven = yes, the USA.

We are likely in a stagnant balance sheet type recession, without long term growth the way the leaders want or the people require, so we're now in the political game of "Let's not let this market crash on my watch, especially with all these annoying broke boomer voters who will crush me if it does"

The yield curve 24 hour news cycle scare has been tried already 3 times in the last year, and while I see a market drop of 60+% when it finally does (I've made those guesses elsewhere) it ain't happening for a while still.

Get your passport ready!
(This post was last modified: 08-18-2019 06:06 PM by Kid Twist.)
08-18-2019 06:04 PM
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re busted dudes Offline
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Post: #28
RE: Your big bets for 2019-2020?
I’m willing to bet there’s no recession and it just keeps going up. That or the market stays sideways for years.
08-19-2019 08:47 AM
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Laurifer Offline
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Post: #29
RE: Your big bets for 2019-2020?
(08-15-2019 11:58 AM)Hypno Wrote:  Pot stocks.

This. Had I gotten into Canadian pot stocks just a year earlier my portfolio balance might be a digit or two longer. Cannot wait for 2020 hype to start pumping American tickers.
(This post was last modified: 08-19-2019 11:38 AM by Laurifer.)
08-19-2019 11:38 AM
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Kid Twist Offline
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Post: #30
RE: Your big bets for 2019-2020?
Eurodollar futures on the way towards 0% interest rates.

Get your passport ready!
08-19-2019 06:57 PM
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[email protected] Online
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Post: #31
RE: Your big bets for 2019-2020?




Got redpilled by this video.

Basically 10k cash limit is really to push negative interest rates. Based on the MSM articles pushing negative interest rates as a good idea, looking like it's a done deal.

Negatives:
-loss of freedom, need middleman (banks) to do transactions
-loss of privacy
-banks and government can shut you down easier as you are dependent on them since you are limited by how much you can transact with when it comes to cash
-you lose money if you keep it in the bank (-5%?)

Positives:
-negative interest means banks can keep lending so no problem with liquidity (and kick the can forward and cushion countries from a recession)
08-20-2019 09:30 PM
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Bazzwaldo Offline
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Post: #32
RE: Your big bets for 2019-2020?
^^^
Thanks for the link Burner, here's something you or other Aussies may be interested in
There's been a massive jump in M1 Money supply in Australia https://tradingeconomics.com/australia/money-supply-m1
"Money Supply M1 in Australia increased to 1014.60 AUD Billion in July from 360.21 AUD Billion in June of 2019."
That's a 282% increase in one month!
Back of the envelope calculation of total deposits in Australian Banks is AUD $1.8 Trillion Source: https://australia.financialadvisory.com/...-2016.html
M0 supply is currently AUD$ 113 Billion or about 6% of total deposits
I think there's some bad news coming and they are gearing up for it
I'm cashing out and sidelining might even top up on PM
09-21-2019 12:47 AM
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Australia Sucks Offline
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Post: #33
RE: Your big bets for 2019-2020?
burner while we are on this topic of increasing government control of the financial system it should be noted that Australian government snuck in bail in provisions into some legislation it passed in 2018. Meaning the next banking crises that occurs in Australia banks can use depositors money to bail out the banks. You can read about it here:

https://cecaust.com.au/stop-bail-in-petition
10-06-2019 03:35 PM
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Foolsgo1d Offline
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Post: #34
RE: Your big bets for 2019-2020?
(08-18-2019 06:04 PM)Kid Twist Wrote:  
(08-18-2019 01:42 PM)zoom Wrote:  ^^ So Trump is mad that China is supposedly manipulating their currency and yet he expects the FED to manipulate the USD? The guy is a clown.

The yield-curve predicted the last 5 recessions. We're definitely due for a recession in this debt-fueled economy and the most recent jobs reports have not been good, despite how Kudlow and the Trump administration wants to spin it.

You aren't understanding that we haven't seen this kind of international capital flight INTO our country in memory. Why? Ask the ECB and BOJ ConfusedArrow

That's what's funny about the "this time it's different" sarcasm. Tell me the last time two major world economy banks had negative rates. And are buying up more of their broke ass assets. And the Chinese people don't even trust that game they are playing over there, so they take huge losses just for stable (real estate, bonds, etc) assets in the only safe haven = yes, the USA.

We are likely in a stagnant balance sheet type recession, without long term growth the way the leaders want or the people require, so we're now in the political game of "Let's not let this market crash on my watch, especially with all these annoying broke boomer voters who will crush me if it does"

The yield curve 24 hour news cycle scare has been tried already 3 times in the last year, and while I see a market drop of 60+% when it finally does (I've made those guesses elsewhere) it ain't happening for a while still.

(08-19-2019 08:47 AM)re busted dudes Wrote:  I’m willing to bet there’s no recession and it just keeps going up. That or the market stays sideways for years.


Why would you think theres a recession when the media, banks and government are doing their best to hide the fact something very wrong is going on?

https://wallstreetonparade.com/2019/10/t...a-problem/

Quote:According to multiple sources we queried, the New York Fed has not made the names of these banks doing the borrowing available to either the Senate or House committees. And if there is pushback from the Committees, the public is not hearing about it. It was this exact kind of complacency and lack of leadership on the part of Congress in the early days of the financial crisis in 2007 that gave the Fed the guts to press a button and electronically create trillions of dollars to bail out the worst actors on Wall Street as they used large chunks of that money to reward themselves with tens of millions of dollars in bonuses and pay billions of dollars of the bailout money to lawyers to block their being prosecuted for fraud.

Journalists also failed to properly alert the public to the impending crisis – even when warning bells were loudly clanging.

More than a full year before the worst of the crisis, on August 23, 2007 the New York Times ran the headline “4 Major Banks Tap Fed for Financing.” The correct headline should have been: “Largest Banks in U.S. Take Unprecedented Step of Borrowing from the Fed’s Discount Window.” The article should have appeared on the front page but instead was buried on page C10 of the New York print edition.

Throughout the Fed’s history, a bank that is forced to borrow at the discount window because it can’t get loans elsewhere is seen as being in deep distress. That’s why banks don’t do it. The Times did acknowledge the stigma in the eighth paragraph, writing:

“ ‘Going to the discount window is like someone on the Upper East Side being seen in a Wal-Mart,’ said Charles R. Geisst, a financial historian at Manhattan College. ‘The T-shirts may be cheap, but why would you?’ ”

Geisst added: “ ‘The banks are circling the wagons. Somebody’s got a problem.’ ”


Last one that killed the system was a bottom-up crash. This will be a top-down crash that could finish off the system entirely. The repo market injection should have ended Oct 10th but ofcourse that was just a lie. November it is now. Hundreds of billions already pumped in and still more is required?

Who the hell is getting this money and how can anyone with any financial sense see this as normal? Explain why you think there is nothing to be worried about as some very smart people are saying this is going to be very bad.
(This post was last modified: 10-07-2019 03:21 PM by Foolsgo1d.)
10-07-2019 03:20 PM
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