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<blockquote data-quote="Arado" data-source="post: 1231229" data-attributes="member: 308">Everyone is saying not to time the market.&nbsp; &nbsp; This is what the market is up against:1) The Fed is tightening via QT-balance sheet reductions 2) Fed Interest rate rises remain on the table, 3) No dramatic technological advances on the horizon 4) ECB also said they will end QE/bond purchases 5) 10 years since the end of the last bear market so we are at or near the end of the business cycle 6) Corporate leverage and debt way too high, record 250+$ Trillion worldwide debt, including 1.5 trillion student debt in the US7) Housing and auto sales slowing, 8) Household wealth/GDP ratio out of line9) Trade war and Europe remain unresolved.&nbsp; 10) Skyrocketing fiscal deficit eating up any excess liquidity11) International economic slowdown and bear market started earlier this yearGiven the above factors I don't see how a dramatic upside reversal is possible, though there will be plenty of mini bear market rallies.&nbsp; What rationale is there to stay invested in the market when you can get a guaranteed 2% on treasuries, and then buy next year on cheaper valuations?</blockquote>

[QUOTE="Arado, post: 1231229, member: 308"] Everyone is saying not to time the market. This is what the market is up against: 1) The Fed is tightening via QT-balance sheet reductions 2) Fed Interest rate rises remain on the table, 3) No dramatic technological advances on the horizon 4) ECB also said they will end QE/bond purchases 5) 10 years since the end of the last bear market so we are at or near the end of the business cycle 6) Corporate leverage and debt way too high, record 250+$ Trillion worldwide debt, including 1.5 trillion student debt in the US 7) Housing and auto sales slowing, 8) Household wealth/GDP ratio out of line 9) Trade war and Europe remain unresolved. 10) Skyrocketing fiscal deficit eating up any excess liquidity 11) International economic slowdown and bear market started earlier this year Given the above factors I don't see how a dramatic upside reversal is possible, though there will be plenty of mini bear market rallies. What rationale is there to stay invested in the market when you can get a guaranteed 2% on treasuries, and then buy next year on cheaper valuations? [/QUOTE]

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