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<blockquote data-quote="semibaron" data-source="post: 1231250" data-attributes="member: 11113">Great analysis. The only point I disagree is that you shouldn't invest now. We are living in a very globalised world, in which financial crisis can spread fast. Imagine one of your points raised above, for example the implosion of the EU, happens, then this will by itself trigger many other effects. Maybe Japan with ~250% debt to GDP and an ageing population will implode next. By then a lot of smaller countries would collapse as well, finally reaching your own country of residence.In such a worst case scenario, the majority companies will run some sort of emergency plan (laying of employees, reducing factory output) or even go straight into bankruptcy. I highly doubt, that national currencies like the Japanese Yen or the US Dollar will be worth anything in such a scenario. More likely we would face civil war.Therefore, take the chance and invest now. Because if we are going to run into a crash, it is going to be the biggest one the world has ever seen and by then I worry about my security and how to secure food rather than some $$$.</blockquote>

[QUOTE="semibaron, post: 1231250, member: 11113"] Great analysis. The only point I disagree is that you shouldn't invest now. We are living in a very globalised world, in which financial crisis can spread fast. Imagine one of your points raised above, for example the implosion of the EU, happens, then this will by itself trigger many other effects. Maybe Japan with ~250% debt to GDP and an ageing population will implode next. By then a lot of smaller countries would collapse as well, finally reaching your own country of residence. In such a worst case scenario, the majority companies will run some sort of emergency plan (laying of employees, reducing factory output) or even go straight into bankruptcy. I highly doubt, that national currencies like the Japanese Yen or the US Dollar will be worth anything in such a scenario. More likely we would face civil war. Therefore, take the chance and invest now. Because if we are going to run into a crash, it is going to be the biggest one the world has ever seen and by then I worry about my security and how to secure food rather than some $$$. [/QUOTE]

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