The Black Knight
Pelican
[Posted in Trump thread]
Analysis of Virginia's 2017 election (including alt-right candidate Corey Stewart)
- Thread starter Jean Valjean
- Start date
Fender_Bender
Woodpecker
I see two positives coming of the VA election
1) Democrats think "WOW, this victory indicates a RISING BLUE TIDE, we are doing things the right way, let's keep up our current tactics bitching about Trump and preaching condescending identity politics bullshit that everyone is sick of!"
2) GOP schism widens as establishment NeverTrump cucks realize that if they don't get their shit together and MAGA, they will fucking lose.
1) Democrats think "WOW, this victory indicates a RISING BLUE TIDE, we are doing things the right way, let's keep up our current tactics bitching about Trump and preaching condescending identity politics bullshit that everyone is sick of!"
2) GOP schism widens as establishment NeverTrump cucks realize that if they don't get their shit together and MAGA, they will fucking lose.
Truth Teller
Ostrich
I don't think Gillespie's issue was not being "pro-Trump enough." I think that his uninspiring nature and inability to win turnout battles are what killed him.
Thomas Jackson
Woodpecker
3 things at work
1. Dems more motivated to turnout, Reps were not. Dems due to Trump hate, etc. Reps due to an uninspiring candidate. I haven't seen the final turnout numbers by registration to tell how big the impact was, but I would guess it makes up the 3% between Gillespie and Trump in 2016.
2. Population growth in Nova (more than the rest of the state)
3. Further deterioration in the demographics
VA is likely lost forever given the Hispanic/Asian (specifically Indian/Muslim) population growth in the next 20 years. Lots on anchor children and green card holders that will be citizens in the next 10 years.
1. Dems more motivated to turnout, Reps were not. Dems due to Trump hate, etc. Reps due to an uninspiring candidate. I haven't seen the final turnout numbers by registration to tell how big the impact was, but I would guess it makes up the 3% between Gillespie and Trump in 2016.
2. Population growth in Nova (more than the rest of the state)
3. Further deterioration in the demographics
VA is likely lost forever given the Hispanic/Asian (specifically Indian/Muslim) population growth in the next 20 years. Lots on anchor children and green card holders that will be citizens in the next 10 years.
Re:
NOVA is prime swamp territory and the only way to have a chance in VA as a whole, going forward, is a massive depopulation there from cuts to the federal govt which may or may not even be realistic at this point. The eurocrats, contractors, think tanks, non profits, and the economy that has grown around them will not go without a fight that may well border on insurrection. Maybe in President Trump's second term. Thank GWB for bloating the fed govt after 9/11, as that's when things started to shift in earnest.
NOVA is prime swamp territory and the only way to have a chance in VA as a whole, going forward, is a massive depopulation there from cuts to the federal govt which may or may not even be realistic at this point. The eurocrats, contractors, think tanks, non profits, and the economy that has grown around them will not go without a fight that may well border on insurrection. Maybe in President Trump's second term. Thank GWB for bloating the fed govt after 9/11, as that's when things started to shift in earnest.
Off topic, sort of. But what was valjean’s deal? Sleeper troll with multiple accounts?
I could have swore this came up before but I’m on my phone and can’t seach good
I could have swore this came up before but I’m on my phone and can’t seach good
Four of the state assembly races were close enough to trigger a recount, but so far it looks like the Republicans will win all four. So, the Republicans will have a one seat advantage in the state legislature.
I can't find a graphic of the election results by county in VA, but it basically mirrored the presidential election. All the rural counties went for Gillespie, and Northam crushed it in the DC suburbs, Richmond, Hampton/Norfolk, Charlottesville, Lynchburg, and a few smaller college towns. So, I think the Republicans will maintain their edge in the state assembly for years to come, but will struggle to ever again have a Republican senator.
I can't find a graphic of the election results by county in VA, but it basically mirrored the presidential election. All the rural counties went for Gillespie, and Northam crushed it in the DC suburbs, Richmond, Hampton/Norfolk, Charlottesville, Lynchburg, and a few smaller college towns. So, I think the Republicans will maintain their edge in the state assembly for years to come, but will struggle to ever again have a Republican senator.
bobmjilica
Sparrow
If we aren't careful, Texas will be like Virginia in 8 years. That happens, and the country is done. Goodbye America.
"Stupidity" is the only word comes to mind when watching this video clip. :lol:
Virginia's 2017 election
Relevant section starts at 29:00
Relevant section starts at 29:00