Cobra's 2021 Election Campaign

Cobra

Hummingbird
Gold Member
Bank had me create bylaws which got approved. Just some more paperwork left and we can be on our way.

Social media groups locally are already starting to smear us but there are many parents I have going into battle for me. I personally decided not to respond to too many of these directly. Probably a good thing.

We will have a marketing, treasury and fundraising function and we are moving forward full stream.

That said, our main competition is local community "beacons" that either are educators or support their unions. They will be tough to beat since we are all outsiders but we need to convey that there are skills beyond just "educator" skills the Board needs.

Continued advice welcome...

(I know we are disappointed about Trump but again this is how I'm channeling my frustration).
 

Dr. Howard

 
Banned
Gold Member
Bank had me create bylaws which got approved. Just some more paperwork left and we can be on our way.

Social media groups locally are already starting to smear us but there are many parents I have going into battle for me. I personally decided not to respond to too many of these directly. Probably a good thing.

We will have a marketing, treasury and fundraising function and we are moving forward full stream.

That said, our main competition is local community "beacons" that either are educators or support their unions. They will be tough to beat since we are all outsiders but we need to convey that there are skills beyond just "educator" skills the Board needs.

Continued advice welcome...

(I know we are disappointed about Trump but again this is how I'm channeling my frustration).

This was my biggest hurdle when I ran for school board. In my election, it was not tied to any other federal or state election that would bring out high turnout so really the only people voting were seniors, teachers union members and municipal union members. The teachers union printed their list of 'endorsed candidates' and those candidates unsurprisingly were the top 4 vote reciepients.
 

Cobra

Hummingbird
Gold Member
Thank you gentlemen for renewing interest in the post. Reason I stopped posting here and updating was that people here got overly engrossed in the Trump situation and the Harris-Biden debacle. I figured the love was lost :p. However, it's nice to see a few people interested in my cause and I appreciate it.

There have definitely been ups and downs since my last update. Raising money has been a challenge mostly because the Bank gave us a tough time with documents et al. I finally got that situated and then it was the "donate" button. I finally got that squared away.

Our PAC Board President was getting a bit anal about activities and pissed a few people off. Remember these are all women. Very emotional and not very logical. She didn't seem to get the fact that these are all volunteers and she can't "manage" them. Needs a softer approach. I called her out on it and she quit a half hour later. Kinda drastic but her choice. My logic was that the people she pissed off were critical to the campaign and I can't have them quit. So I made that choice. That said, she was the one that kept things organized, even though a lot of it was overkill. For example, we had a town hall on the schedule for every single week with other events also thrown in here and there. We have likely done the most any candidate has in this school district's entire history.

I then steered the group's goals to this: Get a list of likely voters from the 2019 election. Parse them into walking blocks of addresses and get volunteers to knock on those doors. Also knock on the doors of the people that signed our recall petition (never voted before). These are swing votes. This is about 7 - 8% of all registered voters by the way. Consolidated elections do not have a huge turnout but this time there is likely an additional contingent of pissed off parents that want to get their children back in school.

So this next month campaigning is going to get tighter. We need volunteers to do everything from get signs out to flyers to knock doors. That's the next big push. Suggestions appreciated here...

As far as my efforts, it has been spent on keeping the PAC together and speaking at Town Halls. I was slightly nervous in the beginning but that's coming together. I did a video speech that turned out horrible because of the technique that was used and also just plain nerves. I have a live forum coming next week with the other candidates so that should be interesting. I'll be practicing with a few in the group and also signed up for 2 public speaking lessons. It may help or may only make a marginal difference.
 

Cobra

Hummingbird
Gold Member
So I'll have a forum soon where they ask us questions live.

The organization running it will more than likely rig it against our slate. We are the only pro reopening candidates.

I've practiced and all. The consensus appears to be that I should come across likeable rather than dickish. This will be hard.

Any advice, please impart!
 

Papaya

Peacock
Gold Member
What are the primary talking points against reopening?

1, Know those and have your counter point facts and statistics readily available.

Sheeple respond to conficence. Answering quickly and knowingly makes you the competent authority

2. Have your message points strategically organized and make them

Dont be afraid to pivot your response to your desired points. Dont get trapped by feeling you have to answer a question directly if you can pivot to one of your strategic points
 

Dr. Howard

 
Banned
Gold Member
So I'll have a forum soon where they ask us questions live.

The organization running it will more than likely rig it against our slate. We are the only pro reopening candidates.

I've practiced and all. The consensus appears to be that I should come across likeable rather than dickish. This will be hard.

Any advice, please impart!

If you are trying to convert democrat NPCs make sure you find talking points that have to deal with racism, transgenders, orange man bad as reasons to re-open in person schools.

Also, Canada, liberals think Canada is a model society...and in Ontario those schools are running all in person for elementary and mostly in person for high schools.

if you are trying to just whip up your base, just talk about how much money is being wasted in the virtual model.
 

paninaro

Pelican
Our PAC Board President was getting a bit anal about activities and pissed a few people off. Remember these are all women. Very emotional and not very logical. She didn't seem to get the fact that these are all volunteers and she can't "manage" them. Needs a softer approach. I called her out on it and she quit a half hour later. Kinda drastic but her choice. My logic was that the people she pissed off were critical to the campaign and I can't have them quit. So I made that choice. That said, she was the one that kept things organized, even though a lot of it was overkill. For example, we had a town hall on the schedule for every single week with other events also thrown in here and there. We have likely done the most any candidate has in this school district's entire history.

Good decision but a tough one. This is like a lot of volunteer organizations. Some people forget that everyone there is a volunteer and not getting paid. In every communication you have with volunteers, be sure to give them a thank you. It's a little thing but it goes a long way. Even better if you can do something small and personal like drop off some baked goods at their house or bring coffee when everyone is going out to canvas.
 

Cobra

Hummingbird
Gold Member
Will provide some further updates but had an immediate question. One of my opponent is ripping apart a statement I made and I still think I'm right. Anyways,

I posted this

"As far as reallocation of funds, it's a great question. We won't have any funds if the disenrollment in our schools continues and the grades deteriorate in the fashion that they have. Parents are moving their children to nearby private schools on a daily basis. We are losing funding from those students. If the housing market improves and inventory goes up, parents will also move and take their tax dollars elsewhere. We won't have a community if our tax dollars bleed out of the district. "

Her response :

Individuals choosing to move to private institutions will not impact District funding under the Hold Harmless guidance. Nor will there be a loss of tax dollars due to families moving out of District as those properties will continue to owe property tax. As for property values, currently anecdotal evidence, at least in my neighborhood, supports an increase in property values despite the lack of a full-time school option, so I am not sure that your theory, while I could argue it makes sense, is actually having the expected impact.

Even if there was an impact, there is no data substantiating or disproving your claim of the magnitude of how many people have chosen either of these 2 options as it is not collected by any source within the District and much of the property sale fluctuations are due to job loss rather and lack of ability to afford current housing. I personally know of 2 families who have moved to private school options and I assume you know of some others..

I don't understand the hold harmless clause and I'm not sure there would be any clause that keeps the funding flowing even after significant enrollment deterioration. I would think that evidence based funding would decrease.

Tax revenue however would be even worse. The assessed values for property would obviously go down in the long term, which would decrease the amount of property taxes, but also would likely decrease sales taxes before that. So am I to understand she's just not seeing the bigger picture?
 
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Troller

 
Banned
Catholic
Will provide some further updates but had an immediate question. One of my opponent is ripping apart a statement I made and I still think I'm right. Anyways,

I posted this



Her response :



I don't understand the hold harmless clause and I'm not sure there would be any clause that keeps the funding flowing even after significant enrollment deterioration. I would think that evidence based funding would decrease.

Tax revenue however would be even worse. The assessed values for property would obviously go down in the long term, which would decrease the amount of property taxes, but also would likely decrease sales taxes before that. So am I to understand she's just not seeing the bigger picture?
She´s just spewing whatever bullshit she heard. You need to back up your claims with actual crushing data.

Regarding harmless clause found this:

https://gov.texas.gov/news/post/sta...hool-systems-to-support-in-person-instruction

will provide a "hold harmless" to Texas school systems for the rest of the 2020-2021 academic school year only. This means funding will be made available to school systems in Texas that have seen enrollment and attendance declines because of the COVID-19 pandemic, as long as they maintain or increase current levels of on-campus attendance. Districts will be funded on attendance in line with projections made prior to the public health crisis. This will ensure that school systems in Texas can retain their teachers for the 2020-21 school year for whom they originally budgeted. This final semester of hold harmless means districts have been held harmless for three consecutive semesters — Spring Semester of the 2019-20 academic year and the entirety of the 2020-21 academic year.

As for the property. Found this:


The city’s property tax revenues are projected to decline by $2.5 billion next year, the largest such drop in at least three decades.

The anticipated shortfall, which Mayor Bill de Blasio announced on Thursday, is largely driven by a sharp decline in the value of office buildings and hotel properties, which have all but emptied out since the pandemic began.


If people leave it won´t be just houses. Families eat and make shoppings. Even though even houses will drop in price and tax fall.

Don´t know if this is helpful. But I can continue digging if it´s right direction.
 
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EndlessGravity

Pelican
Protestant
Will provide some further updates but had an immediate question. One of my opponent is ripping apart a statement I made and I still think I'm right. Anyways,

I posted this



Her response :



I don't understand the hold harmless clause and I'm not sure there would be any clause that keeps the funding flowing even after significant enrollment deterioration. I would think that evidence based funding would decrease.

Tax revenue however would be even worse. The assessed values for property would obviously go down in the long term, which would decrease the amount of property taxes, but also would likely decrease sales taxes before that. So am I to understand she's just not seeing the bigger picture?

These conversations are the exact reason I won't run for office currently. Her response is so stupid, she might as well say, "I believe whatever I want because you can't prove it wrong and I only look at official propaganda."
 

paninaro

Pelican
She's mixing up some stuff here. Property taxes do not fluctuate based on school enrollment, but school funding does in most areas, as they are funded per student. Let's say total property tax revnue is a steady $100mln and schools got funded $50mln last year based on enrollment, then enrollment goes down and they would get just $47mln. Property tax revenue may stay at $100mln but the extra $3mln will go to other funding needs that aren't schools.

The hold harmless is unique to each school district/county/state but as a previous poster wrote, it's basically saying for this one or two upcoming years due to Covid, funding to schools won't go down even if student counts go down. That's allowed because in most states, funding per student is a floor not a ceiling. You have to fund at least (let's say) $10k/student but you can always fund more.

The two other areas are property values and property tax revenues. Find a real estate agent who is your friend. They have access to all home sales in the area and you can generate a report of trends. Note property tax revenues will lag in many states, if there is an assessment cycle (where I live, properties are re-assessed every 3 years, 1/3 per year).

Then for property tax revenus and budget, go to your county executive's budget office. There are people who are already making predictinos on this (tune in to past county councili meetings.. it probably has come up already). The budget wonks rarely get any attention and are usually more than happy to talk. They'll know the scoop for sure. Also the school has enrollment numbers -- tune in to past school board meetings or just ask their public information officer, if the data isn't already posted on their website. My school district saw a 5% decline this school year, where they normally see a 3% increase. Most of it was in the lower grades, since kindergartners don't learn well over Zoom.

But overall strategy-wise, her arguments are a bit esoteric and too detailed for most voters who really don't care that much about school board generally. As much as you can, keep things simple (then point to a detailed position paper on your website if you need to).
 

Troller

 
Banned
Catholic
Found this.

It´s MSM filth. But anyway some pro arguments:


My kids private school when the pandemic started some parents were complaining they had less costs. And should reduce the tuitions. They reduced. But when they reopened. They just said. No tuition will be reduced. And you can go and f. off. I guess they saw an increase in demand.

https://www.axios.com/private-schoo...ols-d6aaf803-d458-4301-a3a7-71364b00a5b0.html

What that brain dead is missing is that money follows rich students. Funding will disappear because things are not black and white. Rich kids work as a lobby for funding.

There seems to be some social angle. Truth be told if kids attend private schools in person they have an advantage. Over public schools. You could say it´s unfair for private kids to have in person classes. Parents are putting their children in disadvantage over others which will have consequences in their future in terms of achievement gap.

You could point private schools haven´t had any significant corona surge. And the only outcome is public schools students becoming 2nd class citizens.

Basically why does rich kids can have in person class and public not? (i know it´s not poor kids who go to public schools but it doesn´t matter). Do parents who can´t afford private schools are required to provide a lesser education than rich ones. That´s unfair for children.

It´s a fact kids in private schools will know more than kids in public schools by end of this year. And it´s unacceptable. When it´s also a fact corona doesn´t affect kids.

I would beat the angle between private and public brutally. There´s no rationale why private can be opened and public no. Nothing. Except bullshit. Corona doesn´t affect much children. It´s ridiculous. I think it´s planed. To divide classes.



NBC News’ Rehema Ellis gets an inside look at how public and private schools are operating differently during the pandemic. Across the nation, 76% of private schools have managed to stay open for in-person learning, but only 38% of public schools have done so.

She doesn´t want to work. As simple as that.

I put my kids in private catholic schools because mostly I didn´t want communist indoctrination. Had a top ranked jesuit school next to my house but NO WAY. No gays. No transgenders. Nothing. Girls are girls. Boys are boys. Girls do ballet boys football. The most stupid I heard his teacher say was "losing is good". Kid came home and asked me if losing was good. I told him F. no. His reply: I knew it dad. If I heard anything communist they would both go to Opus Dei schools.
 
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Easy_C

Peacock
I don’t feel good about this, I think you’ve got something in terms of propaganda. It exploits people’s frustration and envy in a way that can very easily be exploited succinctly.

“The rich kids were able to open school in person and not get sick. Why can’t we? Don’t other kids deserve to have the same things that rich kids have?”
 
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