Crypto-winter would be when most crypto crashes, as in 2014 and 2018. If I remember correctly ETH crashed about 90-95% and BTC about 80%.
My guess is the market goes sideways-down (generally sideways buy probably down a bit overall) for about the next month. Then a large leg up, to say $80K terrotiry for BTC. A quick pull-back and then a slingshot up to about $150K. Though on my chart we were following my line up to $250K delayed by about two weeks, with sideways it pars it back. There is also the possibility for three more moves up or them being streched out, taking us into next year. Since early in the year my gut feeling has been the total cap will hit $6T, or maybe up to $8T.
This is speculation, looking at the past trend.
I've had a look through the Solana tokens and think most of the good ones have already had a good run in the last month of Solana mania. But the main space left is for an established yield farm. There is SolFarm and Sunny. SolFarm has just had a good run, but I think one of those can 10X.
Colour-coded as to how I feel it will fare against the general market for the remainder of the bull market.
Are you going to cash out into BTC or stable coins when the end of the party nears? I've decided on a mix of 20-25% BTC and 70-75% USD stable coins when the market reaches euphoric levels of gains (think first weeks of 2018). I've looked at all the stable coins and my research tells me that DAI is the one that is hardest to shut down, most decentralized. USDC, PAX/BUSD are all good choices too but I am paranoid that the Fed might crack down on USD stable coins in the near future and obviously the centralized ones would be the first to comply. Coinbase would shutdown USDC and Circle would close down PAX/BUSD. Tether is walking time bomb I don't want to touch with ten foot pole. DAI's risk is probably smart contracts, can be hacked, like everything else. Can be impaired by government too I think but probably last one to go down.
My post bullrun breakdown might be something like:
what do you think?