Financial crash thread (2022-2024)

Cynllo

Ostrich
Orthodox Inquirer
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This is a good exhibit for the position of the globalist-sodomitical empire.

Though I lean to thinking there is a deliberate debasement of their colonies, I think it is also true that they are overstretched, facing diminishing resources and being over-run by their own useless golem.

The WEF-2030 agenda benefits from relatively high inflation and high interest rates as it dispossesses people. Fertility rates are heading sub 2.0 globally. High rates in the US = even higher rates in developing countries. I can't see good data, but it seems the big inflation in Lebanon may have shaved off 0.2 of fertility to 1.8. And after being Jew'd, Lebanon is a Muslim majority country.

But as mentioned in the above post, there appears to be a very tricky path to navigate between cutting off resources and not enraging the materialist atheist masses. With that in mind it's easy to see how a lot of recent accidents like the response to COVID, hampering supply chains, inflation etc. are regime policies rather than problems. Not that these things aren't also problematic for them.

It appears to me that the regime wants to unseat the Russian ruling class. Allegedly there was an assassination attempt on Lukashenko and, I think, Putin in the last few years post the Aug 2020 coup attempt in Minsk. They've done Saddam, Ghaddafi and Al-Qaeda. Though I think the Russian ruling-class is far to embded to be possible for them to remove. So, they have put aside $100B+ for that, and there isn't really any tangible outcome. If you rate Putin, I think it would be fair to say he might have had some very broad goals in mind the the special operation. Because it's been somewhat of a failure in terms of gaining Ukrainian territory, but appears to be a pivot on which there have been several geopolitical turnings.

But this $100B+ isn't something the regime really has. This must be around $300-400B thrown at these failed banks. I seem to remember the initial 2008-9 bailout was $800B and considered outrageous at the time. Then there is the giant increase of debt repayments for the US govt, which does not help the regime's objectives. Again, the regime's expansion also treads on its toes. No question the high watermark has been reached. But the sodomites in particular are furiously adamant that the whole world must become gay. Though as corrupt as African leaders are, it seems taking money for sodomy is too shameful for them.

So, query - will the regime consider withdrawing from the world a bit and focusing it's dwindling credit and resources and destroying it's colonies? I hope it continues to try and expand and burns itself out as quick as possible. Tell your elected representatives that spreading sodomy at gunpoint is the only thing that will get your vote.

***

I know you were in Hollywood; you must know they can only produce under or even nominally performing films for so long.

You think I'm Mel Gibson? You won't be the first to make that likeness. I got wind the ADL ran my posts through their AI and my antisemisitm fingerprint was a 100% match to Mel Gibson's.

I don't see any specific movement that is happening right now that signals any change in trajectory. The Republican movements to challenge trans etc. are rolling things back to a lite version of 2015. And that's called fascism. What's going on outside institutions barely matters. All federal and supra-national institution are left wing. That is continuing to grow. Until I see some fatigue, dejection, desperation etc. I will know we are going further left. Though I do expect to see this all to fall down quite quickly, when it does, but I don't see any obvious precursors yet.

In 2019 my main prediction for the 2020s was - the left will go made in the coming decade. They've got more to go and they have 100% of GDP as a minimum to get through yet. The Fed can load up on 50% of US stocks and 50% of T-bills. Plenty of rope left.
 

Cynllo

Ostrich
Orthodox Inquirer
Another worthy snippet is this from Pres. Bukele of El Salvador.



A small country that is audaciously positioning itself as independent. Also goes to show what you can do very quickly with good leadership outside globalist leaders. His interview with Tucker is worth watching. He says from 1st hand knowledge what we talk about - that we are just colonies or provinces of a post-empire consortium, where the instruments of our democracy, as really just the instruments of our offshore ownership.

He's also strong against abortion and has come under a lot of attacks from US financial apparachiks for starting the transation of putting El Salvador on the BTC standard.
 

Papaya

Peacock
Gold Member
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Coincidentally a good friend of mine who has been very very successful financially and who is one of the sharpest intellects I know sent me a copy of this which I received yesterday.

Here is the Intro on Amazon

2019 was the last great year for the world economy.

For generations, everything has been getting faster, better, and cheaper. Finally, we reached the point that almost anything you could ever want could be sent to your home within days—even hours—of when you decided you wanted it.

America made that happen, but now America has lost interest in keeping it going.

Globe-spanning supply chains are only possible with the protection of the U.S. Navy. The American dollar underpins internationalized energy and financial markets. Complex, innovative industries were created to satisfy American consumers. American security policy forced warring nations to lay down their arms. Billions of people have been fed and educated as the American-led trade system spread across the globe.

All of this was artificial. All this was temporary. All this is ending.

In The End of the World Is Just the Beginning, author and geopolitical strategist Peter Zeihan maps out the next world: a world where countries or regions will have no choice but to make their own goods, grow their own food, secure their own energy, fight their own battles, and do it all with populations that are both shrinking and aging.

The list of countries that make it all work is smaller than you think. Which means everything about our interconnected world—from how we manufacture products, to how we grow food, to how we keep the lights on, to how we shuttle stuff about, to how we pay for it all—is about to change.


A world ending. A world beginning. Zeihan brings listeners along for an illuminating (and a bit terrifying) ride
It already resonates with a lot of the discourse we have been having here for a while. (Edit: Namely the end of globalization and a return to regionalization )

Looking forward to reading it
 
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Blade Runner

Crow
Orthodox
He gets fairly key details wrong, that Mr. Zeihan, even though he accurately talks about what will be happening, in general. We lost interest in it? No, it was artificial in many ways, and it couldn't last. Talk about "sustainable" lol. Zeihan is also wrong about a lot of things big picture, because he's a materialist. I've talked about this on other threads. He thinks demographics is destiny but all those guys have also been proven wrong, like all the elitists and Malthusians, who have to lie and propagandize to get their way. I can tell you all why demographics isn't destiny, here, or in other posts. In short, it's because there is always an elite or war mongering class that decides that random countries, regardless of demographics, will live or die. Similar to Iran, who supposedly always had this great "demographic situation". Oh yeah, too bad they have and islamic country to stifle becoming materialists with "freedom". Or is it? lol, it's way more complicated than all of this stuff, but when you're a gayboy chew, you think you know what's going on (cue Harari too, right?) - and it always involved more "stuff" - because that's their feminized way of being, now isn't it.
 

Pointy Elbows

Pelican
Orthodox
It's impossible for it to be any other way when interest rates are the highest they've been since 2003. My 3.25% mortgage actually looks pretty poor based on this chart. Looks like 42% of mortgage holders have a better rate. :(
3.25 looks like a super deal today. If I am reading this right, there is no longer a freebie home line of credit, re-finance, or even flip and buy back in at a reduced costs. People are effectively locked into their houses, and any move will incur much higher rates, so smaller homes (if any at all). I don't know how long selling prices can hold up at this point. Something has to give
 

eradicator

Crow
Agnostic
Gold Member
Third largest bank failure in history, but so what? They had their ESG strategy down and most importantly, using correct pronouns:


Pronouns and funding woke terrorist groups

 

Monty_Brogan

Woodpecker
Gold Member
This is a good exhibit for the position of the globalist-sodomitical empire.

Though I lean to thinking there is a deliberate debasement of their colonies, I think it is also true that they are overstretched, facing diminishing resources and being over-run by their own useless golem.

The WEF-2030 agenda benefits from relatively high inflation and high interest rates as it dispossesses people. Fertility rates are heading sub 2.0 globally. High rates in the US = even higher rates in developing countries. I can't see good data, but it seems the big inflation in Lebanon may have shaved off 0.2 of fertility to 1.8. And after being Jew'd, Lebanon is a Muslim majority country.

But as mentioned in the above post, there appears to be a very tricky path to navigate between cutting off resources and not enraging the materialist atheist masses. With that in mind it's easy to see how a lot of recent accidents like the response to COVID, hampering supply chains, inflation etc. are regime policies rather than problems. Not that these things aren't also problematic for them.

It appears to me that the regime wants to unseat the Russian ruling class. Allegedly there was an assassination attempt on Lukashenko and, I think, Putin in the last few years post the Aug 2020 coup attempt in Minsk. They've done Saddam, Ghaddafi and Al-Qaeda. Though I think the Russian ruling-class is far to embded to be possible for them to remove. So, they have put aside $100B+ for that, and there isn't really any tangible outcome. If you rate Putin, I think it would be fair to say he might have had some very broad goals in mind the the special operation. Because it's been somewhat of a failure in terms of gaining Ukrainian territory, but appears to be a pivot on which there have been several geopolitical turnings.

But this $100B+ isn't something the regime really has. This must be around $300-400B thrown at these failed banks. I seem to remember the initial 2008-9 bailout was $800B and considered outrageous at the time. Then there is the giant increase of debt repayments for the US govt, which does not help the regime's objectives. Again, the regime's expansion also treads on its toes. No question the high watermark has been reached. But the sodomites in particular are furiously adamant that the whole world must become gay. Though as corrupt as African leaders are, it seems taking money for sodomy is too shameful for them.

So, query - will the regime consider withdrawing from the world a bit and focusing it's dwindling credit and resources and destroying it's colonies? I hope it continues to try and expand and burns itself out as quick as possible. Tell your elected representatives that spreading sodomy at gunpoint is the only thing that will get your vote.

***



You think I'm Mel Gibson? You won't be the first to make that likeness. I got wind the ADL ran my posts through their AI and my antisemisitm fingerprint was a 100% match to Mel Gibson's.

I don't see any specific movement that is happening right now that signals any change in trajectory. The Republican movements to challenge trans etc. are rolling things back to a lite version of 2015. And that's called fascism. What's going on outside institutions barely matters. All federal and supra-national institution are left wing. That is continuing to grow. Until I see some fatigue, dejection, desperation etc. I will know we are going further left. Though I do expect to see this all to fall down quite quickly, when it does, but I don't see any obvious precursors yet.

In 2019 my main prediction for the 2020s was - the left will go made in the coming decade. They've got more to go and they have 100% of GDP as a minimum to get through yet. The Fed can load up on 50% of US stocks and 50% of T-bills. Plenty of rope left.

Very well said!

I) there is no way in hell (((we))) only gave them 100. Lord knows what the real figure is

II) Not debating how modern U.S.A military would perform, but if a real shooting war ever went down we have ZERO manufacturing base to make beans, bullets, tanks, and band aids.

III) Correct 100% in no political solution.

Wild wild times.
 

Blade Runner

Crow
Orthodox
Yes, look closely, those are 50% drawdowns. This one will be at least that in the S&P. We're going to see high 2000s, like 2800 ... at least. The Buffett indicator of GDP to market cap of stocks suggests a 24% reversion to the mean trend line. That's about to 3100.
 

Towgunner

Kingfisher
Something to remember and take into account. Ever since the financial crash of 2008 the government, then run by a radical progressive and socialist, barry obama, bailed out the financial industry. In some instances, openly nationalized part of the industry. And even when the more overtly "nationalized" aspects were returned to the stewardship of the banks, the imprint was permanent. The government basically took over finance since then. Among the new stipulations of this relationship was to do their bidding, this included their social agenda. So, as disgusting as it is to see an institution such as signature bank create obscene material, its essential to remember this isn't necessarily that institution speaking. Ramz Paul often describes the radical left as a parasite that takes the host over and wears it like a skin suit. When I see how these radicals operated at Evergreen State College (see "Hunted Individual") you get a perfect visual of how this process unfolds. Similar struggle sessions and hysteria no doubt occurred at signature and elsewhere. chief diversity officers ensure this process will happen. But, the force behind it are all the mandates for diversity, affirmative action etc.
 

cosine

Kingfisher
3.25 looks like a super deal today. If I am reading this right, there is no longer a freebie home line of credit, re-finance, or even flip and buy back in at a reduced costs. People are effectively locked into their houses, and any move will incur much higher rates, so smaller homes (if any at all). I don't know how long selling prices can hold up at this point. Something has to give
This has come up before in this subforum, there is another possibility: we enter a sustained period of worse affordability, like Canada or Australia. This seems like the most likely outcome to me.
 

Cynllo

Ostrich
Orthodox Inquirer
This has come up before in this subforum, there is another possibility: we enter a sustained period of worse affordability, like Canada or Australia. This seems like the most likely outcome to me.

I also think that will be the case.

The 08-09 "credit crunch" is back. This time it's the "liquidity crunch". i.e. the crunch is being juiced before, not after it breaks things.

The Fed is going to be ready on-hand to paper over $2 billion for illiquid banks.

So we are basically back to QE.


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