HUSTLE: Politics is useless if it doesn't make you rich.

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marty

marty

Woodpecker
Gold Member
Check your odds on:

Reliable bookmakers (if you come across a good offer, always check here first):
http://www.sportsbookreview.com/sportsbooks/

Pinnacle is the best one out there, Bet365 pretty much excellent if you don't do it professionally, Betfair's sport exchange can offer better odds, Betdaq is another reliable exchange. There are a few more I can recommend. Winners are generally not welcome though, so if you have a few successful bets with higher stakes you might encounter betting limits (e.g. your stake is limited). You will always get your money though, unless you provided fake information or bet illegally or used some fishy bookie but it goes without saying you shouldn't be doing that in the first place.

I gladly answer any questions.
 
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WhatTheFuck

Robin
Gold Member
Damn, wish I was outside of the US right now so I could get the odds some of you guys are talking about. As it is most sites don't allow deposits from US banks or credit cards.

That being said, I put a few hundred on Trump to win the general election at the +500 on Bovada. I still think that is a good bet overall, and I'm pretty happy with it.

After New Hampshire today the odds are likely going to drop, at least temporarily. Not long before Trump is no longer the underdog IMO.
 
marty

marty

Woodpecker
Gold Member
Handsome Creepy Eel said:
Marty, what about Matchbook (I used that)? They seem nice and reputable to me. I used them primarily because their UI was very user-friendly.
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Matchbook is another exchange (meaning you don't just take the bookie's odds but you can actually "be" the bookie and offer odds that others can take and vice versa. It's a P2P platform, the provider of the exchange only takes a cut in form of commission, usually 2-5% of the winnings). I don't have personal experience with them but they seem solid. The only problem is liquidity (meaning either you don't get the best odds, e.g. there's a huge gap between the back and lay side - someone offers 2.0 for Trump but that's way too low and someone wants to buy at 20.0 which is way too high and nothing in-between; or you can get sometimes matched at a good price but only for a small amount). This is less of a problem for bigger events. Also they have a slightly different commission structure but this doesn't come into play unless you're a pro.

Betfair is the biggest exchange but they are spineless greedy motherfuckers. They started out as pretty much the perfect exchange but have become extremely greedy and introduced a disgusting premium charge a few years ago which targets everyone who is a long term winner. If you're a pro, there's not much you can do to avoid this, as the other exchanges lack the liqudity of Betfair. But if you just want to place a few bets now and then, I'd suggest avoiding them, the pro's fucking hate their guts. So Eel, my suggestion would rather be Betdaq, their interface is similar to Matchbook's and there's a wider array of things to bet on. Liquidity is usually somewhere between BF and MB. I haven't used them for a while though, they are not available in my country.

It's useful to check the odds before placing the bet and having accounts at different bookies. It does make a huge difference. Especially if you use a local bookmaker, those are usually the worst.
 
I DIDN'T KILL MY WIFE

I DIDN'T KILL MY WIFE

Kingfisher
Not sure what's happening, but either a lot of EU betting sites halted their betting markets during this NH primary election or they pulled out of political bets completely
 
Handsome Creepy Eel

Handsome Creepy Eel

Owl
Catholic
Gold Member
Marty, but once my bet on Matchbook (or any other exchange I use) has been been matched, it's matched forever, right? It can't be cancelled or subjected to some shady shit?

As expected, the odds against Trump plummeted almost 50% after NH, with his Republican Nominee down to just 2.7 : 1 against and his Republican President odds at just 6.4 : 1 against.
 
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ElJefe

Pelican
Hmm... my money is now on Cruz's odds improving substantially. His super-charged ground game could get him a win in SC, but SC is winner takes-all. I kinda hope he wins just to spice things up.
 
marty

marty

Woodpecker
Gold Member
Usually betting is suspended if something is going on that has a major influence on said market. Otherwise people who have earlier access to information have a huge advantage. The markets will reopen once we have news on this primary.
 
marty

marty

Woodpecker
Gold Member
Eel, yes it is. Otherwise Matchbook would lose all credibility. They don't (and shouldn't) care about the outcome, they get their commission either way. That's the beauty of the exchanges.
 
Samseau

Samseau

Eagle
Orthodox
Gold Member
I'm honestly worried I won't get my money from 5dimes. I'm gonna make an easy $800 on this primary election (with $100) and perhaps another $1200 on the presidency. I hope these betting sites the cash to cover.
 
marty

marty

Woodpecker
Gold Member
5Dimes is definitely going to pay. They aren't scum. Moreover these aren't even huge stakes. If they didn't want to give you your money, they wouldn't have accepted your bet or only with much smaller stakes. Nothing to worry about. Think of it this way: the bookie sets the odds, so that they make money no matter who wins. The odds reflect the public's opinion. Ideally they make the same amount regardless of the outcome. This of course rarely happens but still, it would be extremely stupid if they just took your money. They would lose their credibility and a good amount of their customers. I'd be willing to take 1.01 odds that you will get your money.
 
Handsome Creepy Eel

Handsome Creepy Eel

Owl
Catholic
Gold Member
Trump now officially the most likely Republican nominee at only 1.917 : 1 odds (Rubio at 2:16 : 1 ) . Cucks on suicide watch!

I'm sure glad I got my bets in at 10 : 1. As the saying goes in Croatia, "tko je jamio, jamio je" ("let each keep what they grabbed, there's no more").
 
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WhatTheFuck

Robin
Gold Member
My only regret is that I didn't get more money in and sooner.

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262

262

 
Banned
Glad these betting sites are around, except for the scammers of course.

Lots of guys in the manosphere make predictions, but with bets like these, now you've got real skin in the game.
 
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ElJefe

Pelican
ElJefe said:
Hmm... my money is now on Cruz's odds improving substantially. His super-charged ground game could get him a win in SC, but SC is winner takes-all. I kinda hope he wins just to spice things up.
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Lol that was a bad bet. Luckily most of my money is on Trump. I might double down on the General where a Trump win is six-to-one.
 
Aristotle

Aristotle

 
Banned
Can someone list the sites that you can use as a US citizen? I can deal with IP detection by using a VPN, but I need to be able to use a US credit card to fund it, and need to be able to get my money (obviously).
 
The Beast1

The Beast1

Peacock
Orthodox Inquirer
Gold Member
I'm not one for any sort of betting. I'll keep my gambling to stock and FX markets.

However, I would love to see the results of those who did bet for Trump back in the summer of last year during the primary and general election. I hope we're talking massive payouts.
 
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