Impact of decreasing birth rates

Blade Runner

Kingfisher
STG will probably love this, but I (sadly) foresee a run here during the 20s decade that has a run of biological issues (partially checked off), natural disasters, and war - all of which will be far more meaningful or impactful than what we have experienced in past years - in the US or abroad, at least in the developed economies.
 

infowarrior1

Hummingbird
Declining birth rates are generally driven by increasing prosperity, as couples have more opportunities and engage in various careers, and that plus lower infant mortality rates, etc., lead to having fewer or no children.

The problem is that even with lower birth rates, the world population continues to rise because of population momentum: large numbers of young people which mathematically offset low birth rates.

Meanwhile, increasing prosperity also means higher energy and material resource use per capita, which in turn creates additional problems due to biosphere limitations.
Increasing prosperity correlate with increasing ideological infection. "Feminism, Hedonistic Lifestyle" and so on.
 

STG

Robin
STG will probably love this, but I (sadly) foresee a run here during the 20s decade that has a run of biological issues (partially checked off), natural disasters, and war - all of which will be far more meaningful or impactful than what we have experienced in past years - in the US or abroad, at least in the developed economies.
What makes you think I will love it?

Just because I am a student of history and human nature and point out how and why history repeats doesn't mean I am looking forward to it.

There is a reason that the average man and family had a nuclear fallout shelter on their property in the near past as these people lived through a period of history where nuclear weapons were used on other humans. Those people are gone today and the idea of nuclear weapons being used on people is considered "tinfoil" by the average person today.

That is human nature for you, if a person doesn't see something with their own eyes and experience it for themselves, it isn't a concern.

Until it is.
 

wojak

Pigeon
I think the impact will be a BuzzFeed listicle entitled "30 reasons why you should welcome your west african replacements as your population fades to nothing"

American/European population growth = bad! climate change! kids are icky! work in a cube till you're 70!
everyone else population growth = woohoo! here come the new americans/french/germans!
 

Blade Runner

Kingfisher
What makes you think I will love it?

Just because I am a student of history and human nature and point out how and why history repeats doesn't mean I am looking forward to it.

There is a reason that the average man and family had a nuclear fallout shelter on their property in the near past as these people lived through a period of history where nuclear weapons were used on other humans. Those people are gone today and the idea of nuclear weapons being used on people is considered "tinfoil" by the average person today.

That is human nature for you, if a person doesn't see something with their own eyes and experience it for themselves, it isn't a concern.

Until it is.
Yes, they are good points but still just general trends. Many dire predictions haven't happened yet, and all the experts calling for them have been wrong for quite some time now. Having said all of that, I do also agree/believe that a major war will happen this decade. I think also more biological or natural disasters will occur (I'm guessing along the west coast) - not just newsworthy, century worthy.
 
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