Impact of decreasing birth rates

Blade Runner

Kingfisher
STG will probably love this, but I (sadly) foresee a run here during the 20s decade that has a run of biological issues (partially checked off), natural disasters, and war - all of which will be far more meaningful or impactful than what we have experienced in past years - in the US or abroad, at least in the developed economies.
 

infowarrior1

Hummingbird
Declining birth rates are generally driven by increasing prosperity, as couples have more opportunities and engage in various careers, and that plus lower infant mortality rates, etc., lead to having fewer or no children.

The problem is that even with lower birth rates, the world population continues to rise because of population momentum: large numbers of young people which mathematically offset low birth rates.

Meanwhile, increasing prosperity also means higher energy and material resource use per capita, which in turn creates additional problems due to biosphere limitations.

Increasing prosperity correlate with increasing ideological infection. "Feminism, Hedonistic Lifestyle" and so on.
 

STG

Robin
STG will probably love this, but I (sadly) foresee a run here during the 20s decade that has a run of biological issues (partially checked off), natural disasters, and war - all of which will be far more meaningful or impactful than what we have experienced in past years - in the US or abroad, at least in the developed economies.

What makes you think I will love it?

Just because I am a student of history and human nature and point out how and why history repeats doesn't mean I am looking forward to it.

There is a reason that the average man and family had a nuclear fallout shelter on their property in the near past as these people lived through a period of history where nuclear weapons were used on other humans. Those people are gone today and the idea of nuclear weapons being used on people is considered "tinfoil" by the average person today.

That is human nature for you, if a person doesn't see something with their own eyes and experience it for themselves, it isn't a concern.

Until it is.
 

wojak

Pigeon
I think the impact will be a BuzzFeed listicle entitled "30 reasons why you should welcome your west african replacements as your population fades to nothing"

American/European population growth = bad! climate change! kids are icky! work in a cube till you're 70!
everyone else population growth = woohoo! here come the new americans/french/germans!
 

Blade Runner

Kingfisher
What makes you think I will love it?

Just because I am a student of history and human nature and point out how and why history repeats doesn't mean I am looking forward to it.

There is a reason that the average man and family had a nuclear fallout shelter on their property in the near past as these people lived through a period of history where nuclear weapons were used on other humans. Those people are gone today and the idea of nuclear weapons being used on people is considered "tinfoil" by the average person today.

That is human nature for you, if a person doesn't see something with their own eyes and experience it for themselves, it isn't a concern.

Until it is.

Yes, they are good points but still just general trends. Many dire predictions haven't happened yet, and all the experts calling for them have been wrong for quite some time now. Having said all of that, I do also agree/believe that a major war will happen this decade. I think also more biological or natural disasters will occur (I'm guessing along the west coast) - not just newsworthy, century worthy.
 
Great topic. Having it in the money matters section is a little limiting, though.

If you look up 'only child' into google, you're going to find all the articles are ardently defending the idea, and almost all are written in your stereotypical sassy list form (10 myths about... 12 truths about). Its way over the top for something that supposedly shouldn't matter much. Thou doth protest too much.

What do you think the implications are?

Extinction, regrettably.


For the kids still growing up right now, I think there's a budding alienation problem that they most likely won't be able to describe to us. The way that I seen it in school, it was the ones with a sibling or two ahead or behind in the grades that never had a bullying problem. Because there was more eyes and ears watching out for them. Ideally they police each other from acting like bastards to other people too. It can do wonders with networking even later in life too, like getting a job. You can abuse that to Brazil extremes, but getting that first dishwashing job for being Tommy's little brother isn't a bad deal.

If that sounds stupid to you, Globohomo's solutions are nannystate anti-bullying snitchfest campaigns and universal basic income, respectively.



You also don't want a society almost entirely made up of old geezers, gents. Its going to sound insensitive to the elderly no matter which way you slice it, but its true nonetheless. I've lived it. Ten to one ratio attending funerals to weddings. Countless retirement center visits to various relatives. And yes, all nursing homes have the same smell no matter where you go.

If you want your aging loved ones to live longer, tell them not to eat junk food, not to take up skateboarding, and not say the n word in an urban neighborhood. But this 'prescribe and procedure' policy on your own folks until they get no less than 95 is a soul crusher, especially when you have to do it several times. Sadly, that's usually where all the money goes at the end of a long life. And hey, maybe avoiding or heavily limiting the amount of kids they had in the prime of life helped them bankroll a lot of personal wealth, but that evaporates instantly if they end up in a nursing home in the last years.
 
If you want your aging loved ones to live longer,

A recurring theme among traditional beliefs and cultures all but forgotten by the modern west in its infinite wisdom. The young give the old life, take a baby or child to see an elderly person (especially one that’s ill) watch the life return to them.
 
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