Lounge of Russian-Ukrainian War

Pointy Elbows

Kingfisher
Orthodox
Ukraine is the useful (if not entirely innocent) dupe in all this. NATO is emptying old inventory, dumping outdated systems, testing new systems, gathering intel, selling expensive systems to each other - all on Ukraine's blood. Since we told Ukraine they will never join NATO and we will not deploy into Ukraine, we have massively reduced risk as compared to if Russia were to offend any of her NATO neighbors.

You would almost think some evil genius that hates Slavs and has Military Industrial Complex investments had thought this up.
 

FrancisK

Pelican
Catholic
Gold Member
Anyone else feel at odds rooting for Russia in all of this? I’m not even necessarily rooting for Russia so much, or ukraine obviously for that matter, as I’m rooting for the narrative of the establishment to fall apart.

It’s odd because none of this is actually good for the USA, it doesn’t help us if the ruble gets stronger or the dollar falls apart and it sure as heck doesn’t help us if the war escalates.

I know someone is going to say that it’s better to let everything fall apart, civil war blah blah blah and whatever other fantasy land crap you want to come up with which will never happen. I have a lot of family, I don’t want to see the people I love go through hardship or even something far worse….

This whole situation is a dirt sandwich
 

Thomas More

Crow
Protestant
Anyone else feel at odds rooting for Russia in all of this? I’m not even necessarily rooting for Russia so much, or ukraine obviously for that matter, as I’m rooting for the narrative of the establishment to fall apart.

It’s odd because none of this is actually good for the USA, it doesn’t help us if the ruble gets stronger or the dollar falls apart and it sure as heck doesn’t help us if the war escalates.

I know someone is going to say that it’s better to let everything fall apart, civil war blah blah blah and whatever other fantasy land crap you want to come up with which will never happen. I have a lot of family, I don’t want to see the people I love go through hardship or even something far worse….

This whole situation is a dirt sandwich
I have always loved my country, but since the 2020 election was stolen and the leftist regime has been pushing pretty much the worst and most destructive policies in every field, I feel that America has been overthrown, and is no longer the same country I once knew. It's not just the government. It's the majority that is in favor of this globohomo dystopia.

I want this current country to fall, and I am willing to endure the pain that goes with it. I believe the only way we will ever get back to a decent society is to go through the fire and be purified.

This may be the kind of fantasy land crap you don't want. Thinking in terms of your loved ones, the current state of things is already unacceptable. The children are groomed. The adults face vaccine mandates and may soon face social credit systems pressuring them to date trannies or gays. The people in power openly say they want this. It's too late to just go along to get along. The best thing for America is a serious setback.
 
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RexImperator

Crow
Gold Member
It’s odd because none of this is actually good for the USA, it doesn’t help us if the ruble gets stronger or the dollar falls apart and it sure as heck doesn’t help us if the war escalates.
Pointing out the obvious: the US government does not serve the interests the American people and hasn’t for some time.

The Biden regime is actually for all intents and purposes a hostile actor fighting against the American people. Just look at the southern border.
 

Stoyan

Kingfisher
Orthodox
Anyone else feel at odds rooting for Russia in all of this? I’m not even necessarily rooting for Russia so much, or ukraine obviously for that matter, as I’m rooting for the narrative of the establishment to fall apart.

This whole situation is a dirt sandwich
I am rooting for the Russian civilization and it's people, because I've always loved it. Obviously I want this ancient civilization to be restored in it's historical borders and former glory. But as you said, the whole situation is a dirt sandwich. But I have been at odds supporting any one side in this confect, as both are de facto controlled by oligarchs. It seems that the actual goals maybe different than the stated ones. Especially with the Medinsky moment.

Pointing out the obvious: the US government does not serve the interests the American people and hasn’t for some time.

Replace US with Federation and American with Russian. It's a quasi Qing governemnt which treats it's country as a kind of internal colony.
 

Pointy Elbows

Kingfisher
Orthodox
I am rooting for the Russian civilization and it's people, because I've always loved it. Obviously I want this ancient civilization to be restored in it's historical borders and former glory. But as you said, the whole situation is a dirt sandwich. But I have been at odds supporting any one side in this confect, as both are de facto controlled by oligarchs. It seems that the actual goals maybe different than the stated ones. Especially with the Medinsky moment.



Replace US with Federation and American with Russian. It's a quasi Qing governemnt which treats it's country as a kind of internal colony.
I'm not familiar with the Medinsky movement. Please explain how the "actual goals maybe different from the stated ones."

Are you saying the Russian Federation government doesn't serve the interests of the Russian people? Is the government that separated from the people in Russia? I was under the impression that the Russian people are beginning to rally to this war.
 

911

Peacock
Catholic
Gold Member
The real evil here is the people pushing for the destruction of Ukraine through the instrumentalization of ukrainian nationalism as a battering ram against Russia.

None of this should have happened had Zelensky's bunch accepted the favorable, reasonable demands formulated by Putin and conveyed to the Ukies by German Chancellor Scholz:
-recognize Crimea and release the waters from the dammed Dniepr canal
-apply the Minsk agreements, authorizing the use of Russian and cultural autonomy for Russian-speaking provinces and cities
-stay neutral, like Finland or Austria, maintain business ties with the West but don't join NATO.

That's it, no biggie, reasonable stuff. Of course Zelensky's handlers had other ideas, and don't give a crap about the Ukrainian people, and the other collateral victims. Not just in the warzone, but also the millions around the war who are going to starve to death from the economic ramifications of this war. Truly tragic evil and stupidity.
 

911

Peacock
Catholic
Gold Member
Ukraine is the useful (if not entirely innocent) dupe in all this. NATO is emptying old inventory, dumping outdated systems, testing new systems, gathering intel, selling expensive systems to each other - all on Ukraine's blood. Since we told Ukraine they will never join NATO and we will not deploy into Ukraine, we have massively reduced risk as compared to if Russia were to offend any of her NATO neighbors.

You would almost think some evil genius that hates Slavs and has Military Industrial Complex investments had thought this up.

Basically they're going to use Russia's hard earned, arbitrarily seized $300 biillon dollars/Euros currency fund to finance all this, the US is enticing Poland, Slovakia and others to dump their Soviet hardware into Ukraine in exchange for replacing those with American modern weaponry at the Russian taxpayer's expense. Not only is this a good scheme for them to steal Russian money, but it will also serve a political purpose by having Russia pi$$ed off at these countries and pushing Russia to intervene militarily against them, escalating the war.
 

Stoyan

Kingfisher
Orthodox
I'm not familiar with the Medinsky movement. Please explain how the "actual goals maybe different from the stated ones."
I can't believe nobody has mentioned the peace talks in Istanbul yet. They were led by a certain Medinsky, who was described by Igor Strelkov as a soy man. That's not the exact term that he used, but the connotation is the same.

The original goals included full de-Nazification and de-militarization of Ukraine, meaning removing the current government of Ukraine and replacing it with something else. Whether or not these goals are commendable or not, is not the question, but rather that is what has been stated to the Russian society by it's government.

During these peace talks in Istanbul, none of these goals were even mentioned. Without discussing the terms of the talks, according to Strelkov and others, the Russian society, at least a plurality of the Russian people considered these peace talks as humiliation and some kind of maybe even treason. Those Russian people who had been enthusiastic about the military operation, which they considered as a kind of Patriotic Liberation War 2.0, were absolutely shocked when they saw that the Russian government made a perceived retreat. These are not my words, but Strelkov's, who described it as a capitulation. Even the presence of such a perceived reaction means something.

Strelkov also mentioned several shocking details, such as allegedly the DNR forces are being sent into the battle without armor, with trilinear rifles, which had been used in the Civil War, in frontal attacks. According to him, border guards at the Federation-DNR border turn back humanitarian aid that Russian civilians and patriotic groups have collected by their own money. I cannot verify if this is true or not. The Federation army is fighting this war using contractors, which are soldiers who fight for money, obviously dependent on their employer. No mobilization has been declared in Russia, which according to Strelkov, implies that the Federation doesn't trust their people with weapons. Maybe that explains why some people in Russia view this not as a war of national liberation, but just as a land grab?

Are you saying the Russian Federation government doesn't serve the interests of the Russian people? Is the government that separated from the people in Russia? I was under the impression that the Russian people are beginning to rally to this war.

Well the war against the common external enemy, the russophobic neo-Nazis, is perhaps the only thing that unites the Russian people and the Federation government. Before the war, the Federation government had very strict kovid rules. People from Russia posted YouTube videos during the past two years how guards stood at the entrances of the stores, demanding to see people's QR codes. People were reduced to buying produce from small shops, the market, or directly from local peasants. Cops used to stop drivers and demand to see their QR codes, and demand money from drivers who didn't have them. And other bullshit which should not be mentioned. Unrest was such that there was a possibility of peasant rebellions. This was according to Russian bloggers on YouTube. Obviously that during an external war the Federation government could not fight it's own people, so it cancelled all these strict rules.

In modern Russia apparently there is wide spread de-industrialization and de-ruralization. There is a huge discrepancy between the richness of the Russian land and the living standard of the Russian people. Could the Federation government, with all their surplus money, instead of buying boats, spend at least some of this money to restore the rural derelict villages and factories? Because the Russian people do not have rights to their own land. Why is a plurality of the Russian countryside depopulated? Why are those people who still live in the countryside subjected to strict laws forbidding them to chop down trees to build and/or repair their traditional Russian wooden houses, even sometimes subjected to strict quotas on hunting, fishing, and foraging, which are figuratively speaking tying the hands behind the back? Why is the population density of Russia lower then the Sahara desert? The stereotype that Russia's economy is just a gas station is not wrong, there is very little industry or independent agriculture. Is this some kind of santa claus reset type shit?

Multiple prominent Russian public figures of the 20th and 21st century have proposed a future for Russia, the combination of modern technology, economy, and high living standards, and a resurgence of Russian traditional values and the Orthodox religion, with a neo-medieval aesthetic in art and architecture. Here we see the opposite thing, low living standards, crippled economy, low technology, and neo-feudal social economic system with only two social classes, the rich elites people affiliated with the Fed gov, and the rest of the "peasants", with little in common between them.

Any traditional values are preserved by grass roots movements by the will of the people only, in spite of all the obstacles that they have. There is the Russian civilization, which is represented by the Russian people and their beautiful ancient traditional culture, and then there is the Fed gov.

I love the Russian civilization, but as a disclaimer, I do not want to step on any big toes. I cannot be between a rock and a hard place. It seems that the extent of support for Putin on this sub cannot be explained just only because of Russian patriotism alone, especially from people who are clearly not Russians. So I should be careful here. There are people who are clearly anti-Russian liberals, nazis, and the like, who gloating at Russia's sufferings. And then there are patriots of Russia who talk about Russia's internal problems with sorrow. Now in an ideal world, such people should at least not be facing any negative consequences for talking about this. But we live in such a (God forgive me for saying this) f*ked up timeline.

We can compare the modern Russian Federation with the late stage Qing Dynasty China. That's the closest I can get without stepping into the mine field. If you can't read between the lines the post isn't for you anyway.


 
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Stoyan

Kingfisher
Orthodox
Russian politics is like a matryoshka doll. It gives you little result if you only strip off the first few layers, but leave the rest intact, and you still do not see what is inside actually. But I'll give you commend for even stripping off these several top layers, because the NPCs don't bother to even try to do at least that.
 

Galaxy_Traveler

Robin
Other Christian
The most significant shift to me in recent days is that Russian military intelligence seems to be improving.
At the beginning of the conflict, Russian military intelligence appeared to perform extremely poorly. This is also reflected by the ouster of high ranking FSB officials in recent weeks.
The reported strikes in cities all over Ukraine with critical logistics centers such as Kharkiv, Kyiv and Lviv suggests to me that the Russian intelligence has improved its target acquisition capabilities to more successfully interrupt and intercept weapons deliveries by NATO countries. This capability is crucial for the Russian side to the point of being a decisive factor in the war.

As the war enters its second stage, the ability of both sides' militaries to adapt will be crucial.

Historically, militaries tend to become more efficient with each iteration of armed conflict. The performance of the German army improved after the invasion of Poland in 1939, which nowadays is largely thought of as a one-sided massacre, but during which the German army committed a lot of mistakes. The improvement of these mistakes led to their strong performance in France in 1940 against a much better armed enemy.

Similarly, the Soviets improved after their disastrous performance against Finland in the winter war of 1939 as well as the early phase of the German invasion of the Soviet Union in 1941, to the point of winning the war against Germany.

There are many such examples, as war has a learning curve that has to be mastered by its participants. Currently I would give the edge to the Russians, simply because they seemed to have not only changed their strategy, but also improved on the critical factor of their intelligence.

My estimation is still that the war will last 12-18 months resulting in a Russian occupation of the Eastern part of Ukraine East of the Dnieper river. Interrupting weapons shipments by NATO countries will be a decisive factor.
 

MrFreezy

Woodpecker
Catholic
Anyone else feel at odds rooting for Russia in all of this? I’m not even necessarily rooting for Russia so much, or ukraine obviously for that matter, as I’m rooting for the narrative of the establishment to fall apart.

It’s odd because none of this is actually good for the USA, it doesn’t help us if the ruble gets stronger or the dollar falls apart and it sure as heck doesn’t help us if the war escalates.

I know someone is going to say that it’s better to let everything fall apart, civil war blah blah blah and whatever other fantasy land crap you want to come up with which will never happen. I have a lot of family, I don’t want to see the people I love go through hardship or even something far worse….

This whole situation is a dirt sandwich

Looks like another forever war with no clear goals in sight. Quote: Ukraine can fight with Russia another 10 years...
Zelensky.jpg
 

911

Peacock
Catholic
Gold Member
^It will be over this year, I would guess by midsummer, at least in terms of Russia securing Novorossiya, with Odessa falling in early Fall. The reason for this is that once the main battle in the Donbass is over, Ukraine will not have any mobile army elements east of the Dniepr and all their resistance will be confined to the main cities, or just limited local tactical insurgency operations outside the cities, like in Iraq.

There will be a lot of instability in cities like Kharkov initially after the Russian takeover, but once the new political structure is set up, with internal police and modern tools like facial and voice recognition, things will quickly normalize.

The question is, will Russia sit back as western Ukraine regroups, or will they be forced to go through it and secure hostile regions like Lvov deep into their heartland...
 

RedLagoon

Woodpecker
Orthodox Inquirer
Yeah right, some of you said Russia would waltz over Ukrain in two weeks... remember that one for another issue? Now it's already two months.

The Great Reset is real and what Russias game in this is, who knows by now. It's just a mess.
 

Stoyan

Kingfisher
Orthodox
In my opinion, it would be incorrect to refer to Russia, at least at the current point in time, as a single entity. As I mentioned before, there is the Russian people/civilization, and then there is the government. But even in the government there are apparently different factions who are directly competing for power, or even indirectly competing by implementing seemingly contradictory policies. That's why we see both the war in Ukraine and all the anti-western rhetoric associated with it, and also construction of a center of the fourth industrial revolution. Multiple steps forward and multiple steps backward at the same time. In Russian politics apparently there are at least kinds of people, Russian Orthodox patriots, people who are interested in self-enrichment only, globohomo colonization helpers, and Chinese colonization helpers.

I predict that we will see in the near future a great power struggle in Russia. Between both internal forces seeking to take power in Russia, and external forces seeking to divide up Russia. Very much like China 100 years ago. I would give about at least 25% chance of an armed conflict occurring on the territories of the Federation within the next 20 years. It's obvious that the Qing Dynasty was unable or unwilling to do anything. The question is which opposition would win, the Taiping, or the Righteous and Harmonius Fists?

The fact that upon starting this military operation, Putin's approval rating soared from an all time low (because of kovid policies) to an all time high, according to some Russian YouTubers, is very telling, with multiple implications. First, is the level of resolve of the Russian public to unite behind a leader who would remove Manchukuo. Second, is the level of gullible or naiveness, at least the general public want to believe that there are politicians whose at least rhetoric is aligned with the interests of the people. Third, is the level of powerlessness of the "Harmonius Fists" upon Russian politics. A general principle: when there is a lack of quality women, the man would be simping for less than ideal ones.
 

C-Note

Hummingbird
Other Christian
Gold Member
^It will be over this year, I would guess by midsummer, at least in terms of Russia securing Novorossiya, with Odessa falling in early Fall. The reason for this is that once the main battle in the Donbass is over, Ukraine will not have any mobile army elements east of the Dniepr and all their resistance will be confined to the main cities, or just limited local tactical insurgency operations outside the cities, like in Iraq.

There will be a lot of instability in cities like Kharkov initially after the Russian takeover, but once the new political structure is set up, with internal police and modern tools like facial and voice recognition, things will quickly normalize.

The question is, will Russia sit back as western Ukraine regroups, or will they be forced to go through it and secure hostile regions like Lvov deep into their heartland...
I can imagine NATO countries may continue to send weapons and military advisors/observers into Ukraine and encourage the Ukrainians to continue their resistance against Russia, in part to test new weapons, get rid of old inventories, to trial balloon new battlefield tactics, and just generally to give the Russians a hard time. I'm not sure what the Russians can do to stop it, except to periodically hit the remaining Ukrainian cities and infrastructure with missile and bomb strikes whenever things start to get out of hand.
 
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