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Predictions for the 2020s
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<blockquote data-quote="BlueMark" data-source="post: 1272742" data-attributes="member: 13298"><p><strong>RE: Prediction for the 20s</strong></p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p>China's middle class has already achieved a level of wealth that has caused birthrates to drop below replacement. See what's happening in Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Singapore to get an idea of how it will play out in China. China will not continue to grow in population.</p><p></p><p>India's population will overtake China's in this century. India still has a per-capita GDP of a poor developing country, while China's GDP is already at a middle income level like Malaysia or Mexico. I would keep a bigger eye on India than on China when it comes to demographic, environmental, and agricultural issues.</p><p></p><p>If East Asia and the West just maintain replacement birthrates or less, the population problem (if there is one) can be corrected over time. It's the poor developing countries that are breeding like rabbits and polluting the air and oceans.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="BlueMark, post: 1272742, member: 13298"] [b]RE: Prediction for the 20s[/b] China's middle class has already achieved a level of wealth that has caused birthrates to drop below replacement. See what's happening in Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Singapore to get an idea of how it will play out in China. China will not continue to grow in population. India's population will overtake China's in this century. India still has a per-capita GDP of a poor developing country, while China's GDP is already at a middle income level like Malaysia or Mexico. I would keep a bigger eye on India than on China when it comes to demographic, environmental, and agricultural issues. If East Asia and the West just maintain replacement birthrates or less, the population problem (if there is one) can be corrected over time. It's the poor developing countries that are breeding like rabbits and polluting the air and oceans. [/QUOTE]
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