Stock Market 2014

[Scuba_Instructor]

Do you mean the ex-date is mid july? Sounds like it hasnt actually been paid out.

Thanks for the reply mate.

The fund in question is the HSBC FTSE 250 tracker (accumulation).

Details from the link below show the ex-div and payment date as follows:

Ex-dividend date:
16 May 2015

Payment date:
15 July 20154

My understanding was that provided I owned the shares before the ex-div date (which I did) then I would be eligible for the payment.

HSBC sent me a message that my fund has earned a small amount, but I've seen no cash payment.

I was expecting this as I opted for accumulation rather than income - but my confusion is stemming from the fact that nothing in my account seems to have changed. No more shares have been bought - so what does the accumulation bit actually mean? Where does my dividend payment go?

I'll go for the income version of the fund next time ... seems far more simple.

Details of fund:

http://www.hl.co.uk/funds/fund-disc...ts/h/hsbc-ftse-250-index-class-c-accumulation

Cheers

SI

 

[Steve9]

Mens wearhouse and Michael Kors stock?
Keep or sell?

I own KORS. I would say keep or buy more.

They are killing it internationally. Last quarter European revenue grew 130%, Japanese revenue grew 90%. Their upcoming Menswear launch could be huge.

 

[LeBeau]

...

 

[iknowexactly]

People need to eat cheaply. Prices will roughly increase on par with food prices for low-cost providers. Hence MCD is basically food-inflation protected.

I think McD is a proven dividend stock as well, but I personally have stopped buying there. The fish sandwich alone is about $4.00, and the simple egg mcmuffin which I get without bacon is almost $4.00 for a egg on a English muffin. Seems so overpriced but maybe I'm just old.

 

[Handsome Creepy Eel]

People need to eat cheaply. Prices will roughly increase on par with food prices for low-cost providers. Hence MCD is basically food-inflation protected.

I think McD is a proven dividend stock as well, but I personally have stopped buying there. The fish sandwich alone is about $4.00, and the simple egg mcmuffin which I get without bacon is almost $4.00 for a egg on a English muffin. Seems so overpriced but maybe I'm just old.

It depends on the country. Here it's also very expensive compared to the amount and it's the main reason I don't go there. But in the USA, they have these dollar menus and all. It's a part of their strategy - aim for the upper class in developing countries, lower class in developed ones.

 

[DVY]

^^^Yea, but its more popular than ever. I've been all around the world and the McDonalds never ceases to amaze me. They adapt locally and regionally so well. Thailand, Taiwan, Russia, Korea, Japan, Mexico. Its amazing. New menu items and different price-points. In Asia, its open 24 hrs (one of the few), and has free wifi. Tons of students will sit and study there, and occasionally get ice-cream or food. Drunk people come in at 3am, etc etc.

In Thailand, they had lunch specials- fried chicken w/rice. Early morning- gruel. In Korea, they had taro-vanilla mix ice-cream. In Japan, they had different burgers. In Israel, they had burgers named after all the big cities (chicago, miami, NY, LA). McD arches is probably the most well-known consumer brand of all time (coca-cola and pepsi are up there too!).

Beyond that, their economics are fabulous. They receive franchisee fees on gross sales (food costs mean basically zipto McD bottom line). Thats the upside. The downside protection is huge portfolio of mostly US real estate (land +building) that is held at cost- some of which for 30+ years. This doesn't do justice to its balance sheet. Thanks GAAP standards!

 

[Julio]

I bought some time ago some KMI around 35usd but I loaded some more at 38.75usd after the last consolidation (KMI will acquire all outstanding shares and units of KMR, KMP, and EPB into a single company).
The combined entity will be the third-largest energy company in the world, and they have a very aggressive dividend policy.
Right now they pay 1.72usd/share, we expect 2.00 next year and then a 10% increase each year until reaching 3.22usd in 2020. And when they promise they deliver:

Dividend Track Record


I will keep it long term and see how it goes.

 

[DVY]

VRNG collapsed today. =/. -70% in 1 day, after appeals overturned previous victory. Put a decent dent into my portfolio (I had roughly 10% of my portfolio in it), but oh well onwards and upwards.

 

[Steve9]

VRNG collapsed today. =/. -70% in 1 day, after appeals overturned previous victory. Put a decent dent into my portfolio (I had roughly 10% of my portfolio in it), but oh well onwards and upwards.

Ouch! In these high risk/high return companies I find it is better if you invest small amounts ( eg. 1% each) of your portfolio into, say, 10 opportunities like this, ensuring that they were not particularly correlated you can do very well on average over time.

 

[Leo]

I took the plunge last week and loaded up on robotics and automation stocks. After months of watching the news on many companies getting into this (yahoo with drones, google with 2 & 4 legged robots & home devices, etc), I think this sector is going to see some serious growth in the near future. My hold time will be around 3-5 years.

Here's what I bought:

ROBO - this is an etf which is a basket of various robotics & automation stocks
IRBT - iRobot - looks like a blue label, well run company that can possibly introduce something disruptive or innovative as they've done before
IXYS - they make power controllers and other power chipsets that every robot, drone and wearable device uses
AVAV - AeroVironment - drone tech company
DRNE - Drone Aviation Corp - another drone tech company, though this one is a bit more risky & volatile. potential to make 100%. bought it at .81 and now its at 1.07

I'm looking at InvenSense (INVN) but haven't pulled the trigger on it yet. They make gyroscopes for motion tracking devices for all kinds of applications including smartphones, tablets and drones.

 

[DVY]

Adding some P2P (peer-to peer) lending into the mix. My buddy has been getting 12% yearly (or 1% a month roughly). Very respectable rates, and if you diversify into 100+ notes, its basically a consumer-bond.

 

[Nemencine]

Shorting CLR(Continental Resources) at $157/$160. Thesis: cost-per-notch.

An american billionaire by the name of Harold Hamm is about to have the costliest divorce in human history at an estimated $8billion. Talk about cost-per-notch! It beats out the previous previous record set by the russian Rybolovlev at $2.6 billion.

How is this relevant to this stock thread?

Well, Mr. Hamm owns more oil in the ground than any soul in america, he is the king of fracking. He is the principal shareholder of Continental Resources with a valuation of $17billion; His wife, Sue Ann Hamm, will be taking an estimated $8billion. .... Continental Resources stock ticker: CLR has a market cap of $28 billion.

Here are some preliminary details.

The company, CLR, has a decent balance sheet, and the stock is kicking arse... however, extraordinary costly divorce can ruin a company. Divorce is what bankrupt Donald Trump. The fate and future of CLR is in the hands of Sue Ann Hamm. If she is a reasonable woman, the company will go on; if not, the company will be gormandized.

Anyways, we will learn more as time goes on. I am taking a highly speculative short position at these levels($157/$160.)... expecting the stock to dip to $140 handle area. If however, CLR shakes off the divorce(news) like an angry bull, and break out past and close above $160, with a follow through day; i will abandon my short enterprise. That is my stop loss parameters.

The risk to this short enterprise? CLR is a good company, decent balance sheets; and geopolitical unrest serving as a tailwind to boost oil/gas sector, on top of that, Mr. Hamm is a solid operator. The pros? Well, Divorce is a bitch.

I have attached the stock charts below, outlining what i expect to happen.

[img=800X600]http://oi58.tinypic.com/2112p95.jpg[/img]


As an addendum i will say this:

#1. No pussy on this planet is worth $8billion.

#2. If the decline is coming as some say.... well, why not simply attempt to make some money off it?

regards,

Nemencine

Adding some P2P (peer-to peer) lending into the mix. My buddy has been getting 12% yearly (or 1% a month roughly). Very respectable rates, and if you diversify into 100+ notes, its basically a consumer-bond.

If i am not mistaken, Lending Club already raised $400 million and planning an IPO....

.
.

 

[Nemencine]

.....
Anyways, we will learn more as time goes on. I am taking a highly speculative short position at these levels($157/$160.)... expecting the stock to dip to $140 handle area. ..

Update. Last batch of short line done... shorts entered at $157...$158...$159...$160. average entry = $158.50; price target = $140.

Stop loss at $164.

That means risk is $5.5 per share to make $18.5 per share.

We will see what happens.

regards,

Nemencine

 

[Laurifer]

Don't mean to derail the thread, just have a quick question since there are Canadians on this thread:

Are you guys using a Tax Free Savings Account for your investments? If so, how advantageous has it been for you?

I just realized the potential of a TFSA and I am interested in opening one once I start investing.

 

[Jaydublin]

Probably a buying opportunity in Apple coming up.

http://www.rooshvforum.com/thread-39966.html

 

[JayJuanGee]

Probably a buying opportunity in Apple coming up.

http://www.rooshvforum.com/thread-39966.html

What is the connection between Apple stock prices and the issues of the linked thread?

 

[BIGINJAPAN]

Don't mean to derail the thread, just have a quick question since there are Canadians on this thread:

Are you guys using a Tax Free Savings Account for your investments? If so, how advantageous has it been for you?

I just realized the potential of a TFSA and I am interested in opening one once I start investing.

Questrade has begun to let people take real advantage of the TFSA. You can trade your TFSA account and is it grows you can use the equity in it to create more margin power in your regular margin account.

The one downfall I always thought for a TFSA trading account was it had similar restrictions like a RRSP account. You can't leverage up your TFSA but you can combine it now with your margin account to hold bigger positions in your margin account.

You can also use your TFSA to invest in mortgage lending. Just like if you were to invest in the stock market, the gains are tax free.

Disclaimer: I dont use my TFSA account for trading, I use it for mortgage investing. I still prefer interactive brokers to questrade when it comes to trading. But I am considering moving some money around to take advantage of this questrade idea.

 

[JayJuanGee]

I am getting a little anxious about the general bullish direction of the stock market, and since I mostly keep my stock investments in various index funds, I am hoping that the overall market keeps on the "going up" trend through the end of the calendar year, then I would cash out one of my series of investments that I began investing between October and November of last year and move that investment into some other area - better for me to occur next calendar year.

This overall bull market may NOT last that long. Any thoughts? I have heard a vast array of predictions, including that it is about to crash any minute and that we have another year of bullishness. I am more inclined to think that we are closer to crash mode than we are to continued bullish mode.. but maybe I am overly pessimistic?

Also, I am concerned about how the upcoming election may play into the overall stock market performance. Sometimes there seems to be upward propping of the market, and then once the election occurs, then there is a discontinuance of the propping. Do we think this propping up is occurring and in what direction and when?

By the way, my general index funds (the ones that I am considering moving into other investments) have gained about 11.5% since November of last year.... which seems pretty good... if they remain up or continue to go up through the final parts of the year... which of course is NO way guaranteed... which is the reason for my general questions in this thread.

 

[jamaicabound]

Yeah everyome seems to be nervous about this market no rhyme or reason to why it goes up or down. For a year or more people have been talking about a crash or correction that never seems to come. I made a lip bit of money bit took profits and pulled out. I hate to miss out on the continued gains but at the same time Im kinda hoarding cash waiting on a big correction to load up on. I made a nice buck on the recovery back in 08 or 09 or whenever that was but was always kicking myself I didnt have more cash available back when ford was at a buck dow at 6 sirius down to a few cents citi really low etc etc etc

 

[Nemencine]

Update on CLR short. breakeven achieved.

At +$5.5 per share gain($153), breakeven has been initiated in CLR short position from $158.50.

As written before short position in stock CLR at $158.50 with stop loss at $164.00 = risk of -$5.5 per share.

When priced dipped today to $152.95(below $153) = +$5.5 per share gain = 100% gain on risk(since i risked -$5.5 per share). At 100% gain on risk, i have initiated breakeven on the trade. Now the trade is completely risk free. It is now a free ride.

This is my intra-trade management tactics to prevent turning a winning trade into a losing trade. I got it from william o'neal of IBD = Once you've made the same amount you risked on the trade, breakeven the trade, and leave the rest in the hands of the market gods. So even if the trade now turned back on you, by that time, you will have nothing to lose.

All that remains is to just wait and see if it goes to $140 handle area. that is it.

Here is the thesis for the CLR short trade.

Attached below is the chart:

[img=800x400]http://oi58.tinypic.com/333ehqq.jpg[/img]

Update. Last batch of short line done... shorts entered at $157...$158...$159...$160. average entry = $158.50; price target = $140.

Stop loss at $164.

That means risk is $5.5 per share to make $18.5 per share.

We will see what happens.

regards,

Nemencine

@JayJuanGee

Yes, it is getting to uncomfortable levels. But... when the trend is up, the trend is up. In almost all short cases, there will be a broad market indicators of the deterioration, short doesn't just happened overnight. Even in those market crashes, there has been indicators in the market, i mentioned about it earlier in this post. The best material on this is IBD, they did a thorough historical studies, and yes, they've always nailed market tops everytime. IBD = investors business daily.

Earlier this year, when the doom&gloom crowd where prophesying the end of days, i wrote this:

.... I think 2014 will be bullish but certainly not in the way that 2013 is. There will be some profit taking. Will i shift into a shorting mode later? If and only if after i have seen a few indicators(across the board, structural deterioration in the indices... Look at all the market tops dating to the 1800s, they exhibited these characteristics...)

[img=800x600]http://www.rooshvforum.com/attachment.php?aid=16237[/img]

HERE IS THE UPDATE ON THE S/P CHART:

[img=800x600]http://oi60.tinypic.com/f23jg9.jpg[/img]