Stock Market thread

Meraki

Sparrow
Keep me posted on those. WDLF is also on mine.
problem with these companies is the dilution & warrants. If there’s 2bil shares outstanding, the market cap would be so disproportionate if they trade at 1$
 

rainy

Kingfisher
I'm in on $EWLL.

Telehealth Physio Therapy Company which owns PHZIO platform. Potential reverse merger with ATI which uses PHZIO platform and is the 2nd largest physical therapy company in the US.
 

Meraki

Sparrow
bit confused on XXII right now. They released big hemp news, during market hours... stock gapped up to 4$...
but then the overall SPY started crashing due to Biden being Biden, and it completely negated the positive effect the news had on XXII, at the exact time the news broke,

I'm going to hold and hope for a strong rebound, I sold a load of shares at 3.95$ and have my core position still. But that was disheartening.
Hoping they keep slamming PRs with tobacco news, partnerships, and the new facility.
 

Deepdiver

Crow
Gold Member
Learning to trade (short) CME intraday S&P futures I posted upthread looking like a useful skill...

Harry's S&P Target correction 2,100 - When Markets correct they FUD move fast down with high volatility generating fast short profits.


Harry may be optimistic - a .618 retrace of the current High 3931 to March 2009 666 low = 1914 target
The 200 Month SPX Moving Average is 1817
Retrace range 1800 to 2100.
1612988625289.png
 
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aynrus

Kingfisher
Learning to trade (short) CME intraday S&P futures I posted upthread looking like a useful skill...

Harry's S&P Target correction 2,100 - When Markets correct they FUD move fast down with high volatility generating fast short profits.


Harry may be optimistic - a .618 retrace of the current High 3931 to March 2009 666 low = 1914 target
The 200 Month SPX Moving Average is 1817
Retrace range 1800 to 2100.
View attachment 29096

Can trade UVXY, requires less money

Seriously, the guy had lost me at mentioning "covid" hoax as real and being pro-mask.
The Cabal let the stocks drop over the hoax in spring, to do what they needed to do, sell high, buy low, short what needs to be shorted, kill small business and prop big business, complete the wealth transfer and unleash the printer - because they were cornered by end of 2019 on the printer part.
Money printer isn't going to stop, there's no way for it to stop, they got to be paying their expenses including hoax-related expenses. They'd only let the crash happen when they need it to.
 
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Deepdiver

Crow
Gold Member
FYI I showed a 40 year S&P Chart, the longest bull market in history was from the 2009 swing low to today - trees do not grow to heaven and all markets eventually come back to balance (the 200 MA on every sized chart is balance)... the point is with huge CME Futures trading volumes in the S&P and now CME BTC futures you make money on all Up and Down day moves - with Market Corrections being the most profitable due to shorts FUD volatility.

Learn to trade CME Futures intraday as I posted up thread - we use 50+ trading confirmations - you can trade profitably on a consistent basis with as few as 10 - you can thank me with a draft IPA one day :cool:
 

aynrus

Kingfisher
FYI I showed a 40 year S&P Chart, the longest bull market in history was from the 2009 swing low to today - trees do not grow to heaven and all markets eventually come back to balance (the 200 MA on every sized chart is balance)... the point is with huge CME Futures trading volumes in the S&P and now CME BTC futures you make money on all Up and Down day moves - with Market Corrections being the most profitable due to shorts FUD volatility.

Learn to trade CME Futures intraday as I posted up thread - we use 50+ trading confirmations - you can trade profitably on a consistent basis with as few as 10 - you can thank me with a draft IPA one day :cool:

What about bull market from 1982 to 1999? 17 years.
1949 to 1966, 17 years. DJI (inflation-adjusted, it's most clear when log scale is removed):

Current bull market is 11.5 years.
I agree about returning to the mean, but the question is when. You'd think the hoax would be the perfect opportunity for them to pull permanent correction and some kind of heavy market controls, but haven't happened in 2020
(futures had been a bit too risky so far for me)
 
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aynrus

Kingfisher
By the way, about return to the mean - I think it only makes sense to look at inflation-adjusted charts on a long scale (and recent "official" inflation numbers/CPI are far from reality). If you look at money supply charts they shoot up near vertical in 2020, condition not seen before, emitted over 23% of past money supply in 2020- if S&P was adjusted for this, the current run up would be nothing, as S&P only run under 15% up since last close before the March crash.
So it's not even back to that point where it crashed, in real dollars.

Here's one article about secular market cycles (bull/bear long term trends) and it has inflation-adjusted 150 years S&P charts with regression trendlines and channel boundairs. These cycles run long. The bull macro-cycle might be not finished (though pretty sure corrections are coming).
 
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rainy

Kingfisher
Do what you will but I strongly feel there's a 24-48 hr window to get in on $HCMC and $PHIL before the train leaves the station.

I have both and the gains have been incredible but they're both going .50-$1 in my opinion.

Do your own DD.
 

Meraki

Sparrow
@aynrus great points on inflation. I think I stated a few pages back that the market looks like an insane run on the surface level, but seems that some of the gains are merely competing with an inflation rate that some stocks simply haven’t yet priced in.

@rainy you are correct on those, but there are a few red flags I’m not crazy about in the chart. I had a 40k order placed yesterday but didn’t pull the trigger. Instead I made a trade on HITIF, was about to trade ZYNE before then 7$ pop, but that was the same time my XXII baby had news so needed to watch that instead.

still made a quick $700 off a $3k investment so happy with that. And a big 65% profit the day before. So I keep tapping my $1k a week goal using limited money & share size. I made a contrarian play on another stock and bought in during that crash fake out yesterday too.

BTW on dd for XXII - I read the news again. Seems the potential here is huge and they hint at “advanced discussions” for operations and partnerships with weed companies. From the looks of it, KeyGene seems reputable and has been assisting with IP deals since the 80s. This news has made me rethink selling on the anticipated tobacco March run, and instead holding 50% thru the summer. Scoring a Canadian or domestic deal is going to be huge.
 

Mortay

Sparrow
BTW on dd for XXII - I read the news again. Seems the potential here is huge and they hint at “advanced discussions” for operations and partnerships with weed companies. From the looks of it, KeyGene seems reputable and has been assisting with IP deals since the 80s. This news has made me rethink selling on the anticipated tobacco March run, and instead holding 50% thru the summer. Scoring a Canadian or domestic deal is going to be huge.

Thanks for your update @Meraki. I was happy with my gains this week and was planning to continue holding.
 

Get in on this stock $RLFTF and $BRPA before they rise and gain more traction. This is a respiratory therapeutic that reduces ICU admission by 11 days compared to all other EUA drugs. The price is low at the moment, so buy in now before it shoots to the moon.
 

Deepdiver

Crow
Gold Member
By the way, about return to the mean - I think it only makes sense to look at inflation-adjusted charts on a long scale (and recent "official" inflation numbers/CPI are far from reality). If you look at money supply charts they shoot up near vertical in 2020, condition not seen before, emitted over 23% of past money supply in 2020- if S&P was adjusted for this, the current run up would be nothing, as S&P only run under 15% up since last close before the March crash.
So it's not even back to that point where it crashed, in real dollars.

Here's one article about secular market cycles (bull/bear long term trends) and it has inflation-adjusted 150 years S&P charts with regression trendlines and channel boundairs. These cycles run long. The bull macro-cycle might be not finished (though pretty sure corrections are coming).
And that information will make you money how? John Williams of Shadowstats reports real inflation at 9% and Michael Saylor MSTR CEO reporting min corp treasury returns need to be 15% to preserve future purchasing power.

My stealth advisor told me last night they will be stacking S&P CME futures shorts at 3950 to 4000 with a major ABC .618 correction to 1950 to 2000 this spring catching the A and C waves down and B leg up trading intraday each 1 pt move = $50 - which is in fact actionable intelligence.
 
Anyone have thoughts on the Buffet Indicator making the rounds in headlines again?

As of 2021-02-11 03:35:02 PM CST (updates daily):
The Stock Market is Significantly Overvalued according to Buffett Indicator. Based on the historical ratio of total market cap over GDP (currently at 195.1%), it is likely to return -3% a year from this level of valuation, including dividends.

Meanwhile, based on the historical ratio of newly introduced total market cap over GDP plus Total Asset of Federal Reserve Banks (currently at 145.1%), the stock market is Significantly Overvalued, and it is likely to return -1.3% a year from this level of valuation, including dividends.

Note: Starting from 12/07/2020, we introduced a new indicator, TMC / (GDP + Total Assets of Fed) ratio to calculate the implied future return.
 

I'm going to check my brokerage accounts. Might throw in some money and "day trade" for giggles. I'm more of a DCA guy since I like to keep my accounting simple.
 
After seeing what happened to the GameStop stocks I kind of lost interest in almost all the trading activities. Now I trust only companies that have been on the market for at least several decades. That's why I think that it's good to invest in Coca-Cola now and get stable annual dividends.
adb1327440.jpg

You can find the information here about KO dividend
 

Deepdiver

Crow
Gold Member
Harry Dents latest 15 Feb Rant:
Grantham announces Market near a (90 year Cycle) Peak...


The 11 Year Weekly Chart from March 2009 Low to Current Wave 5 High
5 Moving Averages 9 Green, 20 Blue, 50 Yellow, 200 Red
Orange ABC retrace... Good news CME Futures Volatility accelerates during a Major Correction Down

C target 1850 to 2150 range (2150 the 1.0 Fibonacci Retrace) ...
1613506963018.png
 
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Meraki

Sparrow
Thinking the powers that be will let it tap 400, maybe even 450 before the real fun begins

praying my speculative plays work out by then.

worst day ever to buy PLTR... thought I was getting a discount, looks like I’ll need to wait & pick up more.. already down a few bucks a share. Good thing I didn’t try playing the pop from 39-40 or I’d be deep red.

what’s everyone looking at this week? I got into OEG for a break from 9 - 10$ but thought 10.25 was in play and didn’t sell. Getting ugly now with the solar & power outs. Holding and waiting for a recovery.
 
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