Hard to fathom that Victorians would re-elect the man who put them through so much hell the past couple of years. After everything that disgusting pig has done, they're still proud to vote for him.
The major problem, aside from the fact that a majority of Victorians prefer either Socialist Dan Andrews Labor or the Greens over the L/NP, is that 52 or 52.5%+ of the 2PP vote is considered a “landslide” in Australian politics and the non-Left has nowhere viable to go and organize or just exist
politically between elections, especially after losses.
Around 46% of Victorians chose the L/NP over Labor. Even if this number should have been much, much higher, particularly given how odious/leftwing Andrews is, this near-majority will remain dormant or psychologically crushed for the next four years. This is unacceptable and needs to change. They need a community/cause to gravitate around for the 3-4 years between state and federal elections.
When Labor lost the 2013 federal election to an actual conservative
in Tony Abbott, their people had the general mass media, the universities, the “high” arts, the low arts, and social media to fall back on.
When national conservative voters lost to the Turnbull agenda after he knifed Abbott or when the L/NP/LNP lost this year to Labor, these voters had comparatively nothing, at least nothing close to unified, to fall back on, such as a non-politically corrupted tertiary education system or the majority of mainstream media outlets buttressing their views.
At least 40% (the exceptions are tiny in number), usually 45%+ of voters in each state or federal election choose the L/NP/LNP over Labor.
These voters, at a minimum the 30% we can call reliably conservative, need a sense of belonging between elections so better results are achieved when in government and L/NP/LNP representatives are terrified about defying them.