It's pretty hilarious and telling how you guys reflexively say that anyone who criticizes Bitcoin "has a blind spot" or "doesn't get it", as if it's utterly inconceivable that anyone could have an informed and yet negative opinion of Bitcoin. And this is not to single you all out, because this is the case with basically everyone in the Bitcoin sphere. But you would do well to take a step back and analyze the psychology at play here, hopefully recognizing the enormous overlap with the psychology of a religion or cult movement, because that's what Bitcoin resembles, more than anything else.
Yes it does resemble religion, in many ways. Learning about it changes lives, for the better. Bitcoin opens the door to improving health, relationships, and lowering time preference. The overwhelming majority of ”Bitcoiners” have improved their lives, by learning not to trust anything, but to verify everything for themselves.
Remember, at the end of the day, the only thing that gives Bitcoin value is the belief that Bitcoin has value.
Yes, this is the definition of money, in this case, one that has a 100% monetary premium.
What gives the USD value? The belief that other people value it. The same thing that gave rai stones, glass beads, cowry shells, silver, and gold value. That’s what money is, a uniquely human abstraction that happens to be a technology that makes civilization possible.
There is no value inherent in the BTC blockchain. There simply isn't. The only "value" Bitcoin has lies in the ability to sell it in the future at a higher price than that which you paid.
It allows individuals to move money without borders, without censorship, and without permission, and completely without theft by confiscation or inflation. Once the data is written it is immutable, with no denial of service attack, no way to block it. You could inscribe data for 3d printed guns, and it is there for the world, forever.
Which is why everyone who holds Bitcoin is forced to adopt this strange, cult-like mentality that immediately dismisses criticism, and which seeks public validation from fellow true believers. The fact of the matter is that all of these pro-Bitcoin talking points you guys endlessly spout and reassure each other with are just rationalizations for a desire to make large amounts of money. It's completely transparent that you sit here cheering for some sort of monetary collapse and reset to a BTC standard because you view this as the only way you're going to get ahead financially.
No, a monetary collapse will make most people much poorer, including Bitcoiners. A world without Bitcoin surely would have such a collapse, possibly ending with a nuclear Armageddon. The best scenario would be adoption before a collapse. That would be a “soft landing”. A slow bleed out of the current government bond ponzi. Personally, I hope Bitcoin succeeds so we have a better world, where people aren’t stolen from by the Parasite class, not because I think I will be wealthy. I accept that it could take 50 years, or even 100 years. Not exactly get rich quick.
You're letting legitimate criticisms and frustrations with our current economic reality color your perception of Bitcoin and bias your decision making in its favor, because the idea of Bitcoin is romantic and compelling,
Yes, I struggle with this. How can I remain objective? I try to listen to the counter arguments, but I have yet to hear any that change my perception…they only strengthen it, because those arguments remind me of my previous way of thinking.
and the possibility of becoming wealthy overnight is too tempting to pass up. But at the end of the day, you're simply invested in (and promoting) a pyramid scheme, which creates no value and which relies entirely on new participants entering the market and purchasing Bitcoin to keep the price afloat. This is not even factoring in the obvious scam of Tether, which has massively inflated the price of Bitcoin, along with the regular wash trading that goes on.
Does money “create value”?. Do government bonds? Does government “generate revenue”? Correct, Bitcoin doesn’t create value, just as gold does not create value. You are 100% correct: if people stop buying Bitcoin, the price will collapse. Where I am sure we differ: in my view, ever increasing numbers of people
will buy Bitcoin, because it will benefit them. Then more, and more, forever. It is scarce, can be moved anywhere, and can’t be stolen. It is the ultimate in private property. Dollars will buy less, year after year, while Bitcoin buys more, year after year. It isn’t creating value, it just has value, because it enables people to coordinate with each other and protect themselves.
You can call me a hater or say I just have a blind spot or don't get it. But really, I'm just trying to keep you all from falling completely into an echo chamber and losing a lot of money. 99% of the money that will ever be made in Bitcoin has already been made. It's 2023, not 2013. There will be no 1000x. There won't even be a 10x. At some point, everyone in Bitcoin is going to look around and realize they're all just holding the bag for the previous guy. Don't let yourself be one of those guys.
I welcome your input. I don’t think you have the depth of understanding of it that I do. For example, I don’t think of it as an investment, or as a way to “make money.” I never plan on selling a superior money for an inferior one. I don’t think in terms of its price in fiat. It makes less sense as this transition happens. It’s like thinking of the price of gold marks in terms of paper marks in 1922. Or the price of dollars, denominated in flat screen tvs. Pricing a scarce asset in terms of a rapidly producible commodity is nonsensical. In Bitcoin terms, everything, including the dollar, is a rapidly producible commodity, since Bitcoin is the most scarce. Everything, in Bitcoin terms, goes down in price, forever.
In a way, maybe it is a pyramid scheme, but one that never ends. It continues to accrue economic value, over centuries. All the inferior money substitutes collapse into it. There is no mass exodus of people “cashing out”. People in Argentina aren’t cashing out of dollars into the Argentine peso, it’s the other way round. Compared to Bitcoin, the
USD is the Argentine Peso