There seems to be a halt in fighting now , since the Azeris took back Hadrut and the heights arount Hadrut. According to my info , there has been a call for foreign investors to rebuild and use the water barrage .
Meanwhile Aliyev and Pashinian have agreed to meet in Moscow again , so it seems that the hypothesis of the "water battle" could be right.
There is definitely no halt in fighting.
Fighting continues on all axis with heavy casualties on both sides. In the south the Armenians have retreated from the plains to the better defendable mountains (ceded about 15 percent of the region's territory)
Many new combat videos are coming out daily
There is a lot happening right now on all fronts and behind the scenes. The chess game had started so to say, from Ukraine and Turkey signing a business deal (drones) to Saudi Arabia +Gulf allies banning all Turkish products to Russian soldiers appearing in Goris (overlooking Stepanakert) to talks to the Turkish lira tanking more and more by the day, to the Turks (allegedly) preparing for a new offensive in Syria (vacating their surrounded posts in SAA territory)
Etc etc
In general I agree with youf assessments though. Putin is not the saviour of Christians, and neither is Iran/Hezbollah (lolwut, seen that comment flouting in various threads now)
The Christians don't have a protector and are easily traded for short term gains by whichever country /ruler. Internalise that truth for it will save you a lot anger
Also I am a lot less pessimistic about the situation on the ground. The elevation will render the drones less capable and more prone to being downed. Winter is coming, which will benefit the defenders, and (speculative) the fact that many drones are now crashing/ being downed indicates that the Armenians are adapting to this reality
Could be Electronic Warfare (from Russia)? Ie. Jamming a signal/ taking over control of the drone. The Russian airbase in Hmeimim (Syria) gets attacked by swarms of drones/quad copters nearly weekly. It could be that they are transferring technology /knowhow to the Armenian side
Also the Russians have started rumbling about the Jihadis running amok in NK. It was one of their main reasons to get engaged in Syria. Shamil Basayev ran camps and training during the 91-94 NK war, a repeat of that will simply be unacceptable
Will write a detailed write up once there is time