It seems as if it's a legitimate possibility. I'd like to hear people's opinion on what the outcome would be if it does indeed occur?
My opinion, America can't defeat Russia in a war on their doorstep with conventional means. I'm concerned about what the American government's response would be after Russia chases them out of Ukraine.
I’ve posted in several threads on this subject but not a lot of folks seemed interested in discussing.
I’ve been pretty hyped on this subject over the last year of escalation in this region, but lately I’m starting to think the whole thing is a distraction or a big Nothing Burger.
From a military standpoint, I agree with you it’s Russia’s backyard, and one can assume that the bulk of Russian military assets are concentrated in this area as they have been for decades if not centuries given Moscow’s close proximity to foreign invaders.
That said, we are right back to the Cold War of Nukes vs nukes. Plus, at this point, what does Russia have to gain from conquering/invading the Ukraine? What’s the long term goal, I’m genuinely curious? Then, if they do, they will be cut off from international banking (SWIFT) and the money flow stops.
I’ve previously been viewing Russia and China tensions and potential conflicts through a Nationalist lease given my background studying WW2 but I think even that gives too much Credit to The leaders of those countries.
I feel like it’s all about following the money now. Why would Russia invade Ukraine if it’s going to hurt their wallet?? I know it sounds cynical but amidst the confusing times, I feel like I’ve got to simplify my lense of analysis. It’s been all playground talk between these folks for so long.