Using Pennsylvania as an example, they do not require you to provide race on voter registration, but I suppose they can try to link it to DMV records, pull up your driver's license photo, analyze skin color, and determine you're white and send you a messed up ballot. That would be quite an operation though.Because what is likely to happen is that you request your mail-in ballot, the election office "accidentally" screws it up based on your demographics (i.e. because you're a white male) and sends you a ballot with a printing error or damage, sends it to a wrong address, etc.... and as a result you can't vote in person because you've already been mailed a ballot, yet you were unable to submit it.
Mail-in ballots are fraud, pure and simple. It's a feature, not a bug.
These poling companies had a motive and are profit-driven groups, whoever is paying their bills they will cater to their products towards. If I were the GOP I would not pay money for their garbage public polls and would go find a more reputable firm or pay to produce private internal poll data. Everyone knows these polls are goofy and cooked up but it is all we really have so many people still hold blind faith towards them.
There has been mail-in type voting for a long time.Using Pennsylvania as an example, they do not require you to provide race on voter registration, but I suppose they can try to link it to DMV records, pull up your driver's license photo, analyze skin color, and determine you're white and send you a messed up ballot. That would be quite an operation though.
In Pennsylvania, you can track if they sent you a ballot, and also track they received your ballot and it was processed. If you didn't receive a ballot, you are still allowed to vote at the polling center.
Trump voted by mail in the primaries. Think he'll vote in person this time, given all the issues you raised?
Can't that happen with in-person voting also? The corrupt official can sabotage the set of ballots being sent to the polling place in a neighborhood that is predominantly white.In the example of determining someone's race, there's no need to target a specific person. Why bother? A corrupt official can simply sabotage (by incorrect printing/mailing/collection) a random sample of ballots in a mostly white county/municipality/neighborhood (accurate demographic data for all of those is publicly available), while sparing the non-white ones.
For example, in Queens, New York City, a democrat operative could sabotage a quarter of the ballots in Howard Beach (77% white), while leaving Jackson Heights (57% latino) unscathed.
For example, if you live in a predominantly Latino neighborhood (which should be safe in the example listed above), but it just happened to vote 50% Trump last time instead of the national average of 25% (all of this data is publicly available too), the lone SJW postman might just "accidentally" lose some ballots from there to prevent those disgusting race traitors and uncle toms from being heard. You'll never know until it's too late, and you won't go to vote in person, after having successfully sent your ballot.
The point is, long-distance voting introduces so many vulnerabilities into the process that it's almost guaranteed to be heavily abused unless it's designed with security as a priority. For example, online voting with 3-factor authentication based on a combination of a personal password, government ID and fingerprint scan akin to beefed-up online banking might be pretty safe; printing paper ballots and randomly mailing them all over the country based on obsolete addresses is definitely not.
No matter how you put it, there is no substitute for an actual, physical appearance where you personally insert the ballot into the box. The chance of manipulation from that point onwards is insignificant and has been proven to be highly accurate for centuries. This might not be the case if you live a 3rd-world country like Mexico where armed hitmen literally waltz in and steal the boxes or set fire to the polling station, but of course if your country has reached that point you have much bigger problems than voting anyway.
Well sure, but those ballots are subject to more scrutiny before being used, have less points of failure (no address, for example), and of course in that case the ballots are always in full view of multiple poll workers and election observers. Additionally, there's a physical record of how many ballots were received and used that can't be tampered with.Can't that happen with in-person voting also? The corrupt official can sabotage the set of ballots being sent to the polling place in a neighborhood that is predominantly white.
I wanted to reply and give an update on this post. Looks like the RCP gap has tightened in FL and PA and Trump is now ahead in Ohio. I predict that the polls will tighten even more as we get closer to Nov 3rd. Lots of polling is garbage. Hoping my man Helmut Norpoth comes through again.
He will. News cannot, and will not, get better for Biden. I was a bit skittish about Michigan in the last month, but now seeing what I see - I see no path for a Biden victory. It doesn't look like he will win MI or PA. As you stated, either of those is a death blow if Trump wins it again. At that same point about a month ago, I actually thought WI was the one that Trump would win for sure. I now believe Trump wins PA, MI, OH, flips MN and NV, and loses WI. I'm not worried at all about NC or FL.I wanted to reply and give an update on this post. Looks like the RCP gap has tightened in FL and PA and Trump is now ahead in Ohio. I predict that the polls will tighten even more as we get closer to Nov 3rd. Lots of polling is garbage. Hoping my man Helmut Norpoth comes through again.
The reason why it doesn't matter is that the energized voters were already all in a long time ago. The independents - that is, the small number of people that truly are malleable or open to going either way - absolutely are paying attention and know all the news is horrible with Biden. On top of his low energy and Trump having demonstrated economic prowess, I believe most of these will also side with Trump when it comes down to it. The cherry on top is that "latinos" will vote Trump higher and blacks, particularly black males, could give a shit about quid pro Joe. They won't show up. Trump also already had made about a 20% hike in black male support, anyway.Yea I agree with @gework. Censorship has complicated things. This time in 2016 there was major meme momentum on the right and Hillary's emails were getting play on major TV networks. Now, social media is banning the right across all platforms, censoring negative stories about Biden, and most people who aren't on social media may not even know about Hunter's laptop.
I can't really predict how this election will go.