Trump will never lose AZ and Florida and win the other 3 pivotal states.If Biden loses FL and AZ, he needs to win MI, WI, and PA. The most accurate pollster from 2016, Trafalgar has Trump ahead in MI, AZ, and, FL, and within spitting distance in PA.
You said you’re relying for 538 for your predictions. Nate got all those rust belt states and several others wrong in 2016.
Nate was wrong on FL, GA, PA, WI, MI, NC. Pretty important states to get wrong.
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Trump won MI, WI, and PA in 2016 by less than 1% of votes. Those could easily flip the other way. Especially a place like PA, since Biden's from there and some people like to vote for the hometown guy.The election comes down to a handful of battleground states. Which of these states will Biden win? MI, WI, PA, FL, AZ?
It will be temporarily harsh for americans in the short to medium term, however europe will actually flourish.This election will have a much bigger impact than just the USA. It will also seal the fate of the western world.
Biden has to win MI, WI, and PA. Trump needs just one. Michigan early voting is looking good for Trump.Trump won MI, WI, and PA in 2016 by less than 1% of votes. Those could easily flip the other way. Especially a place like PA, since Biden's from there and some people like to vote for the hometown guy.
FL he won by under 2%. AZ was more solid with a under 4% difference.
I don't think I've ever seen the current Dems summed up better than the part I bolded. Great breakdown of their coalition, too.The american democratic party is mostly a pro Big business party that calls the other side racist. Thats it. The offer nothing except for making an “inclusive speecH”. Unlike other countries where unions and workers make up the bulk of the left, in the US its actually the opposite.
The coalition is the following:
1.Minorities who are forever pegged the left
2.Lgbtq + Feminists and their sister Lobbies(planned parenthood, divorce lawyers).
3.Academia(schools, colleges, banks that provide loans)
4. Diaspora communities whos one issue is to sponsor greencards for family members
5. People with criminal records
6. Rich people who want the satus quo(high paid executives, hollywood, tech companies)
Not really.This election will have a much bigger impact than just the USA. It will also seal the fate of the western world.
It will. His loss will lead to less hopes + brexit cancelled next elections = more and more Muslims coming to our lands supported by jewsNit
It is sad that many " red pilled" guys actually believe that.
I am not trying to be black pilled but there are some obvious truths that only the blind can't see.
If I would be living in the States I would also vote Trump as the lesser evil but the simple truth is that the system is entirely under control in USA and I am daring to say that it was done as such in order to be maintained under control.
USA is more Jewish controlled , evan than British colonial empire.
Trump did basically nothing in order to reverse the demographic shift in the USA.
He did nothing to reverse the moral degeneration in USA which started since WW1 , accelerated in 1960s and 1980s and has gone super sonic since then.
Normally it can not be reversed as long as Zionists are in charge of Hollywood , social media and media in general, intelligentsia, university staff etc.
Ironically he has supported Israel more than Obama , attacked Iran and started a cold war with China reinventing the " Red Danger" . Recognised Jerusalem as capital of Israel, accpeted Golay heights as part of the same state etc.
I do not see what kind of change he can do in the next 4 years
I stated many things above and maybe you need to read again.It will. His loss will lead to less hopes + brexit cancelled next elections = more and more Muslims coming to our lands supported by jews
Basically Christians and whites will become minority in their own land.
Yeah, Libertardian Johnson used to be republican governor of NM, and got over 9 percent of the votes In NM. Trump lost NM by 8. New Mexico will be much tighter this year without Gary Johnson, maybe T can flip?There hasn't been much talk about 3rd parties. They got nearly 5% of the vote last time, which isn't much but could make the difference in the swing states. There is no McMullin/cuck candidate this time around so I would expect those votes to go to Trump or stay home. Less clear what will happen with the Libertarian and Green votes.
He also got 5% in Colorado and Maine, which was more than the % Trump lost by in each state. He got 4% in Minnesota, 4% in New Hampshire and 3% in Nevada - again more than Clinton's margin of victory. He got around 4% in AZ and NE2, both of which Trump only narrowly won in 2016.Yeah, Libertardian Johnson used to be republican governor of NM, and got over 9 percent of the votes In NM. Trump lost NM by 8. New Mexico will be much tighter this year without Gary Johnson, maybe T can flip?
McMuffin stole some of the cuck mormon vote in Utah, but T still won handily.
" The media, the government advisors, and congress are now what are essentially modern day Pharisees."I went ahead and put it down for T and will leave this thread alone hereafter.
The first reason I do this because I'm seeing that the democrat 'leads' in all the major states are coming short of the 2016 ones.
The second reason is the Germ. If you believe the stat harpies, you accept that the Germ's impact is skewed towards people-of-color in dense metropolitan areas. If so, that's eliminating whole swing state margins worth of what would have been Joe Bud-man votes; there's not really a considerate way to put that.
The third reason is that I think I've morphed into religious nut over the past few years. The media, the government advisors, and congress are now what are essentially modern day Pharisees. Its been plot after plot after plot for over five years now to blatantly get rid of someone, only to fail because of tiny overlooked safeguards. An electoral college, a slight majority of senators, etc.
Something has to be protecting this man. I'm not saying he's a devout Christian at all. He probably doesn't even understand what's going on, himself. And hell, I not even saying that I'M a devout Christian. But I think he's going to stick around as long as he's allowed to- what mankind thinks be damned. There's still a few things that have to get done.
I think our rulers were expecting a slow steady slide into power as a single political party where they would make a permanent Sodom out of the global superpower, and suddenly hit a big orange snag. And technically blackpillers are right; the trends in this country all point to leftist dystopia, but then again its been that way for decades. We still somehow got a POTUS whose modus operandi is to openly mock the media every public appearance that he makes. And it looks like he's about to brand SC appointee number three with only four years in office.
So come the big to-do, I believe he's going to perform an upset. Everybody's going to be pissed, of course. And things will probably start to deteriorate from thereon.
And if we're wrong about any of this, well, posts are permanent. So you can look back and have a good laugh. Then again you might not be in the mood to laugh much.