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Your big bets for 2019-2020?
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<blockquote data-quote="Kid Twist" data-source="post: 1272453" data-attributes="member: 10894"><p>You aren't understanding that we haven't seen this kind of international capital flight INTO our country in memory. Why? Ask the ECB and BOJ <img src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7" class="smilie smilie--sprite smilie--sprite5" alt=":confused:" title="Confused :confused:" loading="lazy" data-shortname=":confused:" />:arrow:</p><p></p><p>That's what's funny about the "this time it's different" sarcasm. Tell me the last time two major world economy banks had negative rates. And are buying up more of their broke ass assets. And the Chinese people don't even trust that game they are playing over there, so they take huge losses just for stable (real estate, bonds, etc) assets in the only safe haven = yes, the USA.</p><p></p><p>We are likely in a stagnant balance sheet type recession, without long term growth the way the leaders want or the people require, so we're now in the political game of "Let's not let this market crash on my watch, especially with all these annoying broke boomer voters who will crush me if it does"</p><p></p><p>The yield curve 24 hour news cycle scare has been tried already 3 times in the last year, and while I see a market drop of 60+% when it finally does (I've made those guesses elsewhere) it ain't happening for a while still.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Kid Twist, post: 1272453, member: 10894"] You aren't understanding that we haven't seen this kind of international capital flight INTO our country in memory. Why? Ask the ECB and BOJ :confused::arrow: That's what's funny about the "this time it's different" sarcasm. Tell me the last time two major world economy banks had negative rates. And are buying up more of their broke ass assets. And the Chinese people don't even trust that game they are playing over there, so they take huge losses just for stable (real estate, bonds, etc) assets in the only safe haven = yes, the USA. We are likely in a stagnant balance sheet type recession, without long term growth the way the leaders want or the people require, so we're now in the political game of "Let's not let this market crash on my watch, especially with all these annoying broke boomer voters who will crush me if it does" The yield curve 24 hour news cycle scare has been tried already 3 times in the last year, and while I see a market drop of 60+% when it finally does (I've made those guesses elsewhere) it ain't happening for a while still. [/QUOTE]
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